We all have seen the rumors of a potential draft day trade between NE and NYG so I wanted to take a stab at what a potential trade could look like using the value chart that has been created based on draft pick trades over the last few years
NE 3 - 514
NE 34 - 175
NE 68 - 73
NE 103 - 33
NE 137 - 16
NE 180 - 8
NE 193 - 6
NE 231 - 2
NYG 6 - 446
NYG 47 - 124
NYG 70 - 70
NYG 107 - 31
NYG 166 - 9
NYG 183 - 7
Given the above value of each picks, I think it is possible for us to move up to 3 without sacrificing many picks
NE receives 6, 47, 107 (677)
NYG receives 3, 68, 137 (603)
In this trade, The Giants would be trading back from the middle of the 2nd round to the top of the 3rd, and from the top of the 4th to the top of the 5th
Giants to no sacrifice any capital of next year and we still have a good number of picks for this year that can allow us to move up a bit in the middle rounds should we have a specific target within trade-up range
Is that possible? Yes.
Is it likely? I don't think so.
Is that possible? Yes.
Is it likely? I don't think so.
Also, remember Mayo’s comments during his intro presser. Something to the effect of taking a player at a position of high importance.
He’ll be making the pick alongside Mayo with Kraft’s approval.
For some reason I don’t see Drake Maye as the guy they take. He has the most upside of anyone in the draft in my opinion. But by some he’s also seen as a risk.
If that’s the case the Giants should pass on that trade.
Look at the Jets Sam Darnold trade. They didn’t have to give up a 1st rounder. They gave up both 2nd rounders in that draft and an additional 2nd rounder the following year.
Mayo also said the following about free agency "We're bringing in talent, 1,000 percent. Have a lot of cap space, and cash. Burn some cash." NE has not really done that in free agency. So I'm not sure we should take his comments on the draft that seriously.
Is that possible? Yes.
Is it likely? I don't think so.
I agree with this. I'm hopeful they can figure a way to deal in for Maye, but I think this is more realistic.
I agree EXCEPT what if Kraft falls in "full bloom love" with his Tommy #2 in JJ???
Mayo and Eliot Wolf don't have the pelts on the wall to override that
My guess is that the Pats would demand a lot more than +74 points (677 - 603) to move out of the 3-hole. They are going to exact their pound of flesh. We need to either give them a #1 next season or (at minimum) the Giants would only get the 3 (not the 68 and 137) for 6, 47 and 107.
Then Kraft got involved, and told his people he wanted JJM. Since that time I haven't heard anything other than AZ wanting a king's ransom to move from #4 to #6.
Not sure how much has changed other than MN backing off on moving up and just sitting at #11 and taking Penix.
My guess is that the Pats would demand a lot more than +74 points (677 - 603) to move out of the 3-hole. They are going to exact their pound of flesh. We need to either give them a #1 next season or (at minimum) the Giants would only get the 3 (not the 68 and 137) for 6, 47 and 107.
Agreed, the chart goes out the window for these types of trades. Historically, teams pay 1.5x the chart value moving to the top 5.
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New England is not trading down.
Is that possible? Yes.
Is it likely? I don't think so.
There would be more on the table from other clubs
Wash taking Daniels - 90+%
I get the feeling a lot of teams attitude is that you can throw a blanket over Penix/Maye/JJM in other words a similar opinion for all of them: "like them, but not trading up a ton of draft capital for them". . . let's see who drops.
NE - if they do not go QB, this opens it up for NY
Ariz - not taking QB, seem to asking too much for trade?
SD - not taking QB, but trade up possible
This is how NY could get Maye, but starts with NE taking a WR (for example)
Then Kraft got involved, and told his people he wanted JJM. Since that time I haven't heard anything other than AZ wanting a king's ransom to move from #4 to #6.
Not sure how much has changed other than MN backing off on moving up and just sitting at #11 and taking Penix.
Are then thinking Maye is available at 6?
I also think it would make sense to require next years #1. Most teams that trade up for a QB into the top 5 usually wind up in the top 5 the following year.
Is that possible? Yes.
Is it likely? I don't think so.
Agreed. They need a QB as much as we do, but unlike us, can take one without having to give up any draft capital. Who knows what will happen next year? I'd be really surprised if they trade down.
I also think it would make sense to require next years #1. Most teams that trade up for a QB into the top 5 usually wind up in the top 5 the following year.
Also agree. It would be insanely expensive to move from #6 to #3. The draft chart is irrelevant.