I had a thought this morning...
It seems like a portion of the fanbase/media don't believe that QB is a need because the trio of Jones, Lock, and DeVito are on the roster this year...despite the inconsistencies in their play.
Let's say Jones has another middling to sub-par season next year or suffers another injury and the team wants to cut him when his cap number is much more manageable in 2025.
Lock is only on a one-year deal and could easily sign elsewhere next year as an unrestricted free agent in 2025.
DeVito is set to become an exclusive rights free agent in 2025. So while he is not an unrestricted free agent, he is still not technically under contract in 2025.
I guess my point is are we underestimating the need of QB? Is there a chance that the team views QB as a much more pressing need than originally anticipated by fans due to the contract status of the 3 QB's on the roster?
Having a rookie, cost-controlled QB on the roster for 4 or 5 years seems like it might be a necessity.
I cringe when I see mocks not taking a QB. I'd lose all confidence in this regime if that were the case.
Logic says they are taking a real serious look at McCarthy for that reason. Now project out the 2025 QBs, it's not promising as of today.
I think if NE is at all open to trading down, Schoen will do it.
That may be the case after the draft as well even if they draft a QB high.
That's how much of a need QB is
You have an overpaid, injury prone starter, who is likely more suited for a backup, wildcat role
you have a journeyman JAG as backup
you have a charismatic practice squad guy forced into action due to injury who is likely out of the NFL before his commercials stop airing
it's the most important position on the field and there is no certainty/future for it on the roster.
Still doesn't mean you should force the pick and if they don't get a QB this year but do get an elite WR or fill other needs it's ok too - maybe even better long term, but I don't see how it's possible to overestimate how big a need QB is for the Giants.
And it all doesn't matter if the OL doesn't block.
I don't agree. The priority can be getting a better player who's cheap. Why does it have to be a Super Bowl caliber QB? Going to be waiting forever if that's the case. Then what happens when NYG goes 7-10 and are picking 12 next year and in a less desirable QB situation in what is likely to be a less talented class?
Upgrade the position with a cheap player who you hope can be a consistently top 12 QB in the league and then build from there. If not, try again.
I doubt any team drafts a QB in the first round and thinks "Meh, this guy can be ok. He won't win us any Superbowls, but he will likely keep me from getting fired."
They may end up with a guy who is just a decent QB and that can be ok. There are only 5-10 guys who are superstars at the position and every team won't have one. But when you draft, you are drafting potential and all of those guys have the potential to be very good.
And it all doesn't matter if the OL doesn't block.
+1
Quote:
But the priority has to be getting a guy who you believe will lead you to championships. TBH, I really only see the top QBs doing that these days. That's why when we talk about QB being a need, I'm not on the same page as many. I think many here just want someone other than Jones. But to me, if the guy isn't someone who realistically doesn't project to the top 10 QBs in the league (or thereabouts), then I think we need to keep the search going. Finding a guy you can win with type isn't that difficult while we're looking.
I don't agree. The priority can be getting a better player who's cheap. Why does it have to be a Super Bowl caliber QB? Going to be waiting forever if that's the case. Then what happens when NYG goes 7-10 and are picking 12 next year and in a less desirable QB situation in what is likely to be a less talented class?
Upgrade the position with a cheap player who you hope can be a consistently top 12 QB in the league and then build from there. If not, try again.
Sy's Rich Gannon comp for JJ is relevant for me here. Nobody thinks of RIch Gannon as an all-time QB, but with a solid team around him in the early 00s, he was great and led the Raiders to a Superbowl and two conference championships (and would've had a third without the tuck rule).
And we have heard plenty of sentiment about QBs being "So and so is a guy you can win with". There are absolutely teams out there who reach for QBs in the first round who would have to exceed expectations to become the sort we see winning championships. What happen is they talk themselves into a guy because that's what happens when you act out of desperation.
So how would you feel if we trade up for a QB and give away our #1 next year and that turns into the #1 pick? Or even a top 5 pick? So we gave away 2 top 10 picks for a guy that probably will play very little their 1st year and was the 4th QB in the draft. Or wait a year, Jones contract can be managed away with a much smaller cap hit. Most likely there will be a QB available of similar grade to any qb available to the Giants.
There is risk on both sides. Teams should invest in a QB in the draft every other year. So in a 3 qb system you have your starter, a guy you chose later in the draft 2 years ago that is now the backup and then a rookie to eventually take over as backup. The Giants have been chasing their tail, replacing coaches, bad drafting at almost every position (look at the 2021 draft, we have no starters going into their 4th year) and having no cap space because of bad drafts and poor FA signings. There is no long term plan for the Giants because they seem to draft for immediate need, filling holes instead of getting the best player available. Basically going into the draft hungry. You can see the holes we have and the players we brought in for visits. They line up pretty closely. WR, QB, CB. The past 2 years, we can see the Giants target the guys they bring in.
And we have heard plenty of sentiment about QBs being "So and so is a guy you can win with". There are absolutely teams out there who reach for QBs in the first round who would have to exceed expectations to become the sort we see winning championships. What happen is they talk themselves into a guy because that's what happens when you act out of desperation.
Right now the Giants have one of the worst QB situations in the league. Next year it is likely they will only have Tommy DeVito under contract if he's still even here.
There are 6 solid QB prospects in this draft, 4 of which are being talked about in the top 10. That still isn't enough to take QB? I ultimately agree with Mike that a team drafts someone because they think he can be part of a SB winner. But, how many QBs are in that tier?
You can't just ignore the position until the perfect prospect comes along.
We arent in the zip code of either
We are the absolute bottom of the barrel
During Jones time here
We have the third worst record in NFL
We have the second lowest PPG & Pts scored in NFL
We have the third lowest Pass TDs in NFL
We have the second lowest offensive yards & passing yards in NFL
Jones has won just 22 games in 5 seasons
I constantly see people on here refer to us as being “mediocre “ or what this OP did.
The sooner we realize we arent even close to that, the closer we are to changing it
But when you say things like 6 solid QB prospects in this draft, 4 of which are being talked about in the top 10 --I don't agree with you that in today's game solid QBs win championships and you also have to understand that "what's being talked about" is in the media, no teams looking to draft any of the QBs are talking. Also, different teams have different evaluations on the top 6. There are strong preferences in both directions. But NYG has to draft a player based on what their board says, not what they read in the media.
Some say you can't shop hungry but that horse is out of the barn. The Giants are starving for a QB because outside of paying Jones they've ignored the position, and paying Jones has obviously been a catastrophe.
If they don't draft a QB next week I take that as a sign they are all in on Jones, and my expectations will be for a $47M season from him in 2024. When that doesn't happen I'll be hoping both Schoen and Daboll are replaced with people who know what they're doing.
Some say you can't shop hungry but that horse is out of the barn. The Giants are starving for a QB because outside of paying Jones they've ignored the position, and paying Jones has obviously been a catastrophe.
If they don't draft a QB next week I take that as a sign they are all in on Jones, and my expectations will be for a $47M season from him in 2024. When that doesn't happen I'll be hoping both Schoen and Daboll are replaced with people who know what they're doing.
This.
NEW YORK GIANTS
Team Needs: WR, TE, S
Sharp Football Analysis 4/3/24
Defensive Back
Wide Receiver
Defensive Line
Draft Analyst Consensus Says This Position Is Giants' Biggest Need - si.com 2/8/24
According to a compilation of first-round draft projections by leading draft analysts, the consensus is the receiver.
sportsnaut 2/12/24
New York Giants draft needs 2024: WR, QB, RB, CB, S, LB
Get one now.
Some say you can't shop hungry but that horse is out of the barn. The Giants are starving for a QB because outside of paying Jones they've ignored the position, and paying Jones has obviously been a catastrophe.
If they don't draft a QB next week I take that as a sign they are all in on Jones, and my expectations will be for a $47M season from him in 2024. When that doesn't happen I'll be hoping both Schoen and Daboll are replaced with people who know what they're doing.
I don't think all those advocating to "just take a quarterback next year" realize there's a very real possibility that a bad season with Jones at the helm would cause a full reset.
Forcing a QB could be worse than deliberately not picking a QB (with a premium pick).
Forcing a QB is how you wind up in QB hell and eventually you get the back of the Browns or Jets jerseys depicting QB hell.
If the GM believes the QB is their guy they should be aggressive and get the QB. But some are simply not "gettable" like Caleb Williams for example, maybe even Jayden Daniels. Settling for "next best" is not a strategy.
I also think the wrong decision though should cost the GM their job. You can't miss on the most important position on the field and expect another shot at it.
Avoid QB hell......
I cringe when I see mocks not taking a QB. I'd lose all confidence in this regime if that were the case.
Logic says they are taking a real serious look at McCarthy for that reason. Now project out the 2025 QBs, it's not promising as of today.
I think if NE is at all open to trading down, Schoen will do it.
Project out the 2025 QBs if McCarthy had stayed in school.
Some scouts would currently project him as the overall #1 pick in 2025. So taking a look at what might have been that 2025 overall #1, in this year's draft, not needing to have 2024's overall #1 pick, can make a lot of sense.
2022 saw daniel Jones with his most wins, most "consistent" season and it accounted for 15 TD Passes in 16 games played.. 15!
It saw a team have to play mistake FREE in order to win and needed mistakes by the other team to make sure we could win. Take a look:
Wk 1- we win 21-20 (by going for 2 late in the game and with Tenn missing a GW fg attempt.
wk2- we won by 3 but won the turnover battle 2-0. We averaged 3.8 yards per play. We kicked 4 field goals.. We were at home..
wk3- we lose to Dallas who was playing Cooper Rush at QB. Jones for the third straight week doesn't 200 yards passing.
wk4- we beat Chicago in a horrible game where Jones has less than 80 yards passing but runs for 68 and 2 TD's.. If we had played any other team this week, with that kind of poor production we lose. Chicago fumbled 3 times in that game and we still only won by 8 points..
I could go on and on but you see where things are at. We won some games WITH Daniel Jones but not because of him. Last year, when things were not perfect, we lost. Games that were close, the almost wins happened with Devito and Taylor at QB, again cementing the fact that even baseline competent play at QB will get you some wins or keep you in games. That means we can accomplish that with anyone- so why are we keeping a guy who we pay to WIN games just be a guy who produces like an UDFA QB???
We need a QB to build to around. Doesn't mean he will be Mahomes etc but we can't keep rolling out the guy who just isn't it and expect that if we build everything else we will be fine.. Doesn't work that way.. The 49ers found Purdy but that was more by accident than plan- they had Jimmy G (who is better than Jones BTW) adn went after their guy in Lance. Lance didn't workout but the 49ers already had all of their other pieces that they were using with Jimmy G and when Lance failed, they put in Purdy our of necessity and it all worked..
I don't think Purdy to the Giants would have worked out..You can have that "guy" when you have all of the other pieces. You don't get that "guy" and then try to add pieces, he won't make it the point of true development. He will never be protected enough to do that.
When you are building up you need your center piece, when you are just remodeling you can have a more limited center point as all the othe3r areas over come his limitations..
We are rebuilding not remodling..
I really don't want to trade down, but if we whiff on the "big 4" QBs, or perhaps just don't like the one that falls, we need to have a serious discussion about whether or not trading down and trying to acquire a 2025 #1 is the best long term move.
If we don't get a QB this year, there needs to be a plan in place to get one in 2025 when we can get out of Jones' contract.
Yes we don't want a QB picked just for sake of "take any guy" but the dial is done on Jones longer term. Yes - we've added Lock too as a lotto ticket for short term.
Even if its the 4th QB in the draft, if we feel a guy is smart, talented, and worth a shot to try and develop, take him.
Jones is the problem and the reason the need is big
+1
Regardless of the Brock Purdy argument - it's a cap issue.
Average QBs get $30-40 mil/year.
Purdy will get more than that on his next contract.
You need an elite guy
1- Because it's the most important position in sports
2- You have to pay elite money to keep him more than 4-5 years
Drafting a QB "you can win a championship with" isn't a thing. How do you know before the guy has played an NFL game?
There is no long term plan for the Giants because they seem to draft for immediate need, filling holes instead of getting the best player available. Basically going into the draft hungry. You can see the holes we have and the players we brought in for visits. They line up pretty closely. WR, QB, CB. The past 2 years, we can see the Giants target the guys they bring in.
It drives me fookin nuts if I allow it. They run the team like a regular fan would. See hole plug hole, continue to suck and spin wheels going nowhere.
As a fan, I want to feel like something is being built. To do that, you need to bring in a QB. Anything other than that is a non starter for me.
Watching Daniel Jones hand it off to Devin Singletary and checking down is a waste of time and an insult to fans.
Drafting a QB "you can win a championship with" isn't a thing. How do you know before the guy has played an NFL game?
Got to be able to scout and judge pedigree. This has become a lost art in the modern NFL. Tenures are too short for coaches and front offices, too much trying to win now with bad rosters, etc.
We all have no idea how the Giants have these guys rated, but we will know next week if they draft a guy in the first that they see him as a guy who can win superbowls for them. If they take a flyer on a guy in round 3, they probably see him as a guy to compete to start down the road while they keep searching for their long term answer.
What I do not expect to happen is the Giants take a guy in the first because he will likely be a better option than Daniel Jones. You pick based on the player, not the guy he is replacing.
QB is a need that has to be filled. Stop thinking about it as Jones is a guy who needs to be upgraded.
As Terps says, they'll only be hungrier next year.
I agree huge need, but still you don't force it if it's not there (especially at 6). This team is void so much talent almost everywhere except the DL. On offense, the weapons are bottom-tier. Compared to Dallas/Philly its a joke.
Slayton is our WR1 right now and Singletary is not scaring anyone with our OL. We are in serious need of fire-power and top-end talent on offense. No QB will succeed with those weapons. On D, we need depth at DT, another good/solid corner, and probably a starting safety.
We need to continually build this team almost everywhere including QB. I think if your not getting your QB at 6, then you have RD2'2024 through next draft to land your guy without question (although not sure they have that leash pending on how this year goes). I'd rather have a roster in place that can support the growth of a young QB. I don't see it yet.
Do they absolutely "need" to just draft any QB? No. They should take best player available and not overdraft.
But a few of these QBs should be special. And they'll do what they can to get one.