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Why do so many people think NYG will be so bad?

Sean : 5/16/2024 8:48 am
The national media is lumping NYG in with the Panthers as the bottom feeders of the league. As I've said, Schoen's actions do not line up with a franchise which is going to be a bottom feeder.

--We can all debate the Jones contract. At most, Schoen thinks he's a franchise QB. At the least, he thinks he's a bridge QB until the right QB comes along. Either way, Schoen is opting for the roster build strategy until the next QB is here.

--Schoen traded a top 40 pick for Brian Burns and immediately gave him a top tier level contract in his position group.

--Schoen invested heavily in the OL through FA.

--NYG spent a total of $221.8M in free agency (ranked 4th among all NFL teams).

--The Giants drafted Malik Nabers who should be a WR1 and was considered the best non QB in the draft by some.

--This regime has now had 3 drafts which should be the foundation of the roster outside of QB.

I cannot believe how many fans here are just casually predicting a 4 win season with a poor roster being the reasoning. That feels like a total cop out. A few weeks ago I made a thread stating I didn't believe Schoen was on the hot seat, but I had the assumption NYG would be competitive, let's say hovering around .500 and "in the hunt" in December.

However, if the Giants are as bad as people think despite the actions Schoen has taken this offseason, I'd be all for another total housecleaning. When Schoen says they are a few players away, that doesn't mean 4-13. That should mean a few players from competing for a NFC title. Not a few players from going .500.

The Giants brand has never been worse imo. They can only get out of it by winning consistently, but another season over by October and this franchise would be in desperate need for any kind of credibility.

TLDR: Schoen's actions in free agency, the draft and trading for Burns do not align with a team that is going to be as bad as many think. The Giants need to be at minimum, competitive and around .500.

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RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Mike in NY  
Darwinian : 5/16/2024 5:34 pm : link
In comment 16517246 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
In comment 16517233 Darwinian said:



I will agree on the last point. I would have taken Pratt instead of the LB in Round 6. Hope I am proven wrong, but I think special teams players you could find as UDFA. I personally was not fond of Milton because if the light has not gone on yet with all of the chances he had at major programs why would it suddenly change in the NFL? I thought Pratt's realistic upside was higher.


Glad we could agree on one point, at least. It would have been nice to get one of the later round guys. I don't really care which, I think they are all similar probability plays. Rattler, Pratt, Travis, Milton.
RE: Don't force the QB does have a case  
giantstock : 5/16/2024 6:15 pm : link
In comment 16516876 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
But it's a very narrow case that focuses on the pick instead of the team.

Nabers (or whatever non-QB) has a better likelihood of being a good player than JJM (or whatever QB). That is true. Nabers has a better chance of being great, good, useful...every level.

So for the pick itself, it makes some sense. From the broader team building perspective though, you are going to have to pick the QB at some point. You need to have a good QB. And unless you're picking #1 in the right draft, the position player is always going to have a higher likelihood of being good.


+1.

There's a reason why Goff and Cousins get more money than Amon-Ra even though Brown is "better."
To Quote Bill P.  
Beer Man : 5/16/2024 6:26 pm : link
"You are what your record says you are". Winning in the offseason means nothing until the team can translate it to winning on the field on Sundays.
This is a big year  
djm : 5/16/2024 7:10 pm : link
A lot of questions get answered this season in my view. It’s year 3. Good first year . Bad second. Big year 3. If they show some promise and battle to 8-9 wins, depending on the nature of those wins, we could be pretty satisfied heading into 2025. Or we could get out to an early good record and then collapse against tougher teams and be frustrated heading into 2025. Or it’s even uglier than that and were despondent. I still don’t think the roster is bad but proof is in the pudding. The giants have to earn some respect.

I think the qb will hold his own if the team functions at a reasonable well level. Call me crazy.
I should temper my enthusiasm for the defense  
djm : 5/16/2024 7:25 pm : link
While they added the star in burns and have 3 other studs on the front 7, they still have some spots on D that are a bit questionable, or unproven on paper. They also lost Williams on the DL and didn’t really replace him with anything substantial. McKinney I’m not as worried about since they added the 2nd rounder but again, he’s unproven too.

And that’s the good part of the team. The offense is even more questionable but that’s why they play the games. We’ll see in a few months.
djm.  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 5/16/2024 7:26 pm : link
I admire your optimism. I wish I shared it.
When the Giants Were Healthy Last Year, They Weren't Bad  
OntheRoad : 5/16/2024 7:42 pm : link
The problem areas were the offensive line and run defense. The Giants have taken steps which might realistically be effective in both areas. They have added talent to both sides of the ball.

The Giants might be mediocre or middle of the road this year. But barring another slew of injuries, there is no reason to expect they will be at the bottom of the league. There is reason to hope that with a strong effort, they could have a winning season.

There are some good players on this team.
 
christian : 5/16/2024 7:42 pm : link
I agree with the general sentiment above by many that this is the year where his draft picks need to breakout.

The cornerstones of the 2022 and 2023 teams were Gettleman acquisitions. Thibs, JMS, Neal, Robinson, Hyatt, Banks, Flott, Ezeudu, Nabers, Nubin, and Phillips were all top 100 picks. Several of those guys need to be above average or better starters to put together a sustained run of winning years.
RE: When the Giants Were Healthy Last Year, They Weren't Bad  
JT039 : 5/16/2024 7:43 pm : link
In comment 16517361 OntheRoad said:
Quote:
The problem areas were the offensive line and run defense. The Giants have taken steps which might realistically be effective in both areas. They have added talent to both sides of the ball.

The Giants might be mediocre or middle of the road this year. But barring another slew of injuries, there is no reason to expect they will be at the bottom of the league. There is reason to hope that with a strong effort, they could have a winning season.

There are some good players on this team.


I think so too. If JSS and banks progress from rookie year and Nabers is a true number 1…. They’re going to win some games.
RE: When the Giants Were Healthy Last Year, They Weren't Bad  
giantstock : 5/16/2024 8:06 pm : link
In comment 16517361 OntheRoad said:
Quote:
The problem areas were the offensive line and run defense. The Giants have taken steps which might realistically be effective in both areas. They have added talent to both sides of the ball.



No. On Offense.

The problems were the OL.
The WR crew.
The TE
The QB.

To only single out the OL is just wrong.
If the Giants have a poor season and it results in Daboll's canning  
Darwinian : 5/16/2024 8:44 pm : link
I think it will be a terrible missed opportunity. Daboll was hired as a QB whisperer to caddy a QB prospect of his choosing. It's a great chance for the Giants to find their own starter to pair with a guru. If they can Daboll, they'll probably swing the pendulum in the other direction, and hire a defensive minded HC and the hope that the Giants might finally adapt to the new NFL will be lost for another half generation.
RE: djm.  
djm : 5/16/2024 8:47 pm : link
In comment 16517347 SFGFNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
I admire your optimism. I wish I shared it.


Sad thing is I’m not that optimistic. Even my best case scenario is nothing special. I guess I’m just looking for a shred of something hopeful … I’m not exactly booming with confidence, won’t lie.

All I really want is a quality NYG defense. Just give us that this season. One with staying power.
I’ll stick to my guns tho  
djm : 5/16/2024 8:52 pm : link
Daboll isn’t getting fired anytime soon.
When were the Giants healthy last year?  
Ten Ton Hammer : 5/16/2024 8:57 pm : link
They had two phases. Really fucked up and less so.
The typical football fan  
gridirony : 5/16/2024 9:07 pm : link
is a moron who suffers from a strong case of recency bias, present company excluded.
It doesn't make sense for Detroit...  
Milton : 5/17/2024 6:39 am : link
...unless someone was willing to give up a 1st or 2nd round pick for him. The Lions have Super Bowl aspirations. In Hooker they have an inexpensive, but talented QB who has had two years in their system. That's very valuable to them. Even if he doesn't take a snap for them for the remainder of his contract, he gives them peace of mind, and will figure favorably in the comp pick formula down the road.

The next question is: why would someone give up a 1st or 2nd round pick for a guy who has yet to take an NFL snap when they weren't willing to give up a 1st or 2nd round pick for him in the 2023 draft? Not impossible, but not bloody likely.
I am not ready to write off the season  
joe48 : 5/17/2024 9:46 pm : link
I agree this is a pivotal year but I cannot predict our record because we have a young team and have added new players. My hope is that we become more competitive in our division. I have seen 4 SB wins in my time which is longer than many here. Saying the team and organization stinks everyday will not fix anything.
The turnaround  
allstarjim : 5/18/2024 1:05 am : link
Can only meaningfully happen when they find a strong franchise QB.

However, this team got a lot better. The foundation is laid now to where if you can acquire that difference maker at the QB position, they can win quickly.

So much still relies on health, though, and the Giants really had a bad 2023 on that front. Given the injuries to really key players last year, I maintain that Daboll really overachieved with what he had week to week. You just don't see UDFA rookies at QB win hardly at all at the NFL level. This gives me a good vibe that if Schoen can acquire a real talent at QB going into 2025, they can become contenders quickly.

It does feel like the people in charge have real competency.

That said, I thought they should've drafted McCarthy, and if he becomes a franchise QB, failing drafting an equal or better talent in 2025, not taking him will be viewed as a major missed opportunity.

And I absolutely love Nabers, I believe he will be a superlative #1 receiver. Cee Dee Lamb level at least.
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