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NFT: Mets Minor Leagues (July)

DanMetroMan : 7/1/2024 10:17 am
Marco Vargas activated, Joseph Yabbour promoted to @stluciemets, Carlos Guzman to @SyracuseMets #Mets .
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RE: DMM, whats your thoughts on Jennie Finch's kid  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 1:47 pm : link
In comment 16551065 Rory said:
Quote:
Junior in HS, 6-3", throwing 87.

and his name is Ace.


I just saw he went viral, I think he's actually 6'8"! (video below) admittedly, I had never heard of him previously but have to like those bloodlines
Link - ( New Window )
Tong  
CMicks3110 : 7/10/2024 2:02 pm : link
Seems a bit overrated. Not a high velocity guy.
RE: Tong  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 2:07 pm : link
In comment 16551103 CMicks3110 said:
Quote:
Seems a bit overrated. Not a high velocity guy.


He turned 21 in June, sitting 92-95 and touching 97 with ELITE FB shape. He's not a top 100 prospect (yet). Who is overrating him exactly? He throws just as hard as Christian Scott, in fact Sproat is probably the only SP in the system that throws significantly harder than Tong, who is 2+ years younger than most "higher ranked" arms in the system.
I'd  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 2:10 pm : link
take Tong over Tidwell and upside wise, probably #1 arm in the system. Odds are against him hitting his absolute ceiling (because how many players actually do?) but he'd be an easy first round pick right now if he were draft eligible and given his relative lack of pitching experience... a LOT to like.
RE: .  
Section331 : 7/10/2024 2:21 pm : link
In comment 16550354 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Every time I mention how bad Stewart has been he does something good so... last 28 days .133/.278/.233. He's 0 for his last 12. Unbelievably long leash (40 starts), with a minor league option left for a team in the mix for the playoffs


If he’s on the roster, he’s going to have to play every once in a while, but I hope we NEVER have to see him in the middle of the lineup again.
RE: RE: .  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 2:28 pm : link
In comment 16551143 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 16550354 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


Every time I mention how bad Stewart has been he does something good so... last 28 days .133/.278/.233. He's 0 for his last 12. Unbelievably long leash (40 starts), with a minor league option left for a team in the mix for the playoffs



If he’s on the roster, he’s going to have to play every once in a while, but I hope we NEVER have to see him in the middle of the lineup again.


Pretty bizarre at this point. 1. Stearns has had a quick trigger overall 2. Stearns values defense 3. He has an option left, not even a "forever" decision.


Since 9/1-2023, DJ Stewart 86 games played .180/.312/.318 (89 wRC+), negative 0.2 fWAR
..  
Named Later : 7/10/2024 2:36 pm : link
Lotta buzz down here about a local college Pitcher coming out this year. His name is Trey Pooser (great baseball name).

Played for College of Charleston Cougars and showed well in the NCAA Tournament. Won many accolades for the Cougs. He had eligibility left when he graduated in 2023, so he went to U of Kentucky as a Grad Student. And put in a good season in 2024.

Kid's got size at 6' 4" and 200 lbs. Is he on any of the pre-draft lists ??
Link - ( New Window )
RE: ..  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 2:39 pm : link
In comment 16551165 Named Later said:
Quote:
Lotta buzz down here about a local college Pitcher coming out this year. His name is Trey Pooser (great baseball name).

Played for College of Charleston Cougars and showed well in the NCAA Tournament. Won many accolades for the Cougs. He had eligibility left when he graduated in 2023, so he went to U of Kentucky as a Grad Student. And put in a good season in 2024.

Kid's got size at 6' 4" and 200 lbs. Is he on any of the pre-draft lists ?? Link - ( New Window )


Did not make BA's top 500 draft eligible players (I just checked, I obviously didn't memorize it)
Lyle Miller-Green  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 2:44 pm : link
is a senior sign I REALLY want the Mets to take. old for the draft (almost 24) but has MONSTER power, 6'6" 240, with an outstanding arm (pitches too)

Hit .393/.533/.900 this season, yes, he slugged .900. 54 walks/38 k's
Tong has han  
CMicks3110 : 7/10/2024 3:05 pm : link
Success for only like a year, he was a 9thish round pick. Maybe he touched 97 once. Weird delivery, can he keep it up?

I think he is way overrated. Has to prove it for an additional full year. Needs to average 94 on the fastball and consistently hit 97-98 to be considered anything more than a Tylor Megill type.
RE: I'm  
Eric on Li : 7/10/2024 3:08 pm : link
In comment 16550983 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
not looking to rile up Eric but decent exit velocities only mean so much. Acuna is a speed/defense player who hopefully can hit enough to be a viable regular. 12 players in the IL have been worse than him in 2024 (wRC+) out of 116 players, his ISO is 102/116, his BB% is 105/116, OBP 98/116 and then there's the 3 for his last 25.

There is absolutely nothing in his numbers that suggests he's ready to help a big league team offensively and it's questionable development-wise if it makes sense to have him play sporadically as a bench piece right now. Logic would suggest a 7.0% BB rate in AAA is going to look pretty ugly right now with the big club. Somebody like Ritter or Brosseau likely should be the next man up for now.


the amount he can/cant help the big league team offensively depends on who he ends up getting at bats over. if it's stewart/mcneil/gamel it's not that high of a bar.

the amount he could help them defensively could be worth it as it has been with iglesias, and while he's passed the eye test iglesias' defensive numbers arent even that good. he is -2 OAA with a 5th percentile arm. iglesias has obviously hit way beyond expectations but he's 34 and never hit much, so id prefer him as a nice bench/depth piece than counting on him as the every day 2b.

acuna could very well come up and not hit at all right now but i think he'd learn something new, and hopefully hed be able to take that back to AAA with him so whenever the next call up comes he's better prepared. players at AAA are always 1 injury away.
RE: Tong has han  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 3:14 pm : link
In comment 16551203 CMicks3110 said:
Quote:
Success for only like a year, he was a 9thish round pick. Maybe he touched 97 once. Weird delivery, can he keep it up?

I think he is way overrated. Has to prove it for an additional full year. Needs to average 94 on the fastball and consistently hit 97-98 to be considered anything more than a Tylor Megill type.


97 once?

"The 6-foot-1 hurler throws directly over the top, and that delivery helps him get elite ride on his four-seam fastball. The offering sits 92-94 mph, topping out at 97, and averaged 20.6 inches of induced vertical break, tops among any pitcher that threw a fastball in the FSL. Tong can also snap off a mid-80s curveball that plays well off the verticality of the fastball, and his tight mid-80s slider can also get whiffs. Tong has an 84-86 mph changeup for use against lefties, but that’s a work in progress even though he’s dominated early on in 2024.

Tong experienced control issues in 2022 and 2023 but looked like he ironed those out early on in St. Lucie this spring, in part because he was getting so much swing-and-miss above the zone where he needs to live to dominate. It’s worth monitoring how his walk rate is affected by facing more patient hitters at the upper levels, but there’s no doubting he’s on a path to being a Mets development win."-Pipeline


BA-
Quote:
The larger filled bubbles indicate whiffs. You can see how his fastball just chews up hitters when it gets 21 inches or more of ride. As crazy has his performance has been, it might get even better if he can consistently get to that magic 21-inch number.

When you get that much ride, velocity doesn’t matter, but Tong is averaging a very respectable albeit slightly below-average 92.7 mph. However, he’s been as high as 97.2 mph, indicating two very positive things: First, he’s pitching well below his max, suggesting he might be less of an injury risk, as he’s not pitching at max effort. Second, he has the potential to sit 95 mph or above, assuming natural growth and maturation. Performance can often be misleading at the lower levels of the minors. However, when you combine elite traits with a 47% whiff rate (in zone and out of zone, righties and lefties), along with a monstrous 20.3% swinging strike rate (against both righties and lefties), it’s basically checking every single pitch quality box you can ask for.


Christian Scott's average FB velocity is 94.3 and he's 4 years older than Tong.

And I ask again, who is "overrating" him? He's a top 15 prospect in the Mets system
Here  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 3:17 pm : link
is his previous start blowing his FB by hitters because of well above average ride. It would be pretty stunning if Tong doesn't end up throwing at least as hard as Scott with normal maturation of his body
Link - ( New Window )
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 3:22 pm : link
New York Mets
@Mets
RHP Phil Maton has been activated.

RHP Eric Orze has been optioned to Triple-A Syracuse.

RHP Reed Garrett has been placed on the 15-Day IL with right elbow inflammation.

LHP Danny Young has been recalled from Triple-A Syracuse.
Schwartz  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 3:35 pm : link
to Syracuse
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 4:17 pm : link
Donovan Antonia had a 38 wRC+ with the FCL Mets, 42 wRC+ with @stluciemets
on the year .157/.252/.220... what if I told you he's been promoted to @BKCyclones
?
Tong is overrated by Mets twitter  
CMicks3110 : 7/10/2024 4:17 pm : link
Everyone thinks he’s the next lincecum. Also I don’t think Christian Scott is that good. He’s OK.
Jennie Finch  
Archer : 7/10/2024 4:24 pm : link
Jennie Finch is married to ex-baseball player Casey Daigle.
Jennie is 6' and Casey is 6'-6".

It is not surprising that their son is a pitcher
Tim  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 4:31 pm : link
Lincecum was on a HOF track. Jonah Tong will never be Tim Lincecum. Jonah Tong is ranked the #18 prospect in the Mets system by fangraphs, #20 by pipeline, #15 for BA. I can't speak for "Mets twitter", who also still think Alex Ramirez is going to be a star but Tong generally speaking is viewed as a developmental prospect, having an outstanding season, who has traits that suggest he could be very good.

13 pitchers in the SAL 21 or younger

Tong 4th in K/9, 4th in era, 2nd in FIP, 2nd in xFIP, 3rd in k%, 2nd in average against and he just turned 21. He will be 21 until mid-season 2025.
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 5:11 pm : link
Alex Ramirez wRC+ on the season down to 90, 4/27 in July... and is somehow only hitting .137/.267/.176 vs. LHP jeez #Mets
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 5:18 pm : link
Last we heard @mets
"hoped" for a mid-July return for Drew Gilbert... might we see him soon? or another timeline pushback?
..  
Named Later : 7/10/2024 7:03 pm : link
Looks SYR vs Scranton Yankees tonight is postponed. The Weather Channel was all lit up red with warnings this afternoon.

Double-header Thursday starting at 4:05 pam. Let's play two !!
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/10/2024 8:19 pm : link
Jonah Tong 6 innings 3 hits 1 run 0 walks 7 k’s. Tong has struck out 28 while walking only 4 over his last 3 starts (17 innings) . 2 ER allowed over that span #Mets
Clifford  
GF1080 : 7/10/2024 9:07 pm : link
A grand slam and a double tonight.
Clifford  
GF1080 : 7/10/2024 9:15 pm : link
Added a 2nd HR this evening. 3/6 with 3 XBH.
RE: Clifford  
Eric on Li : 7/10/2024 9:24 pm : link
In comment 16551455 GF1080 said:
Quote:
Added a 2nd HR this evening. 3/6 with 3 XBH.


ops up to .923, batting avg up to .230. ive compared him to duda a lot, duda didnt get to AA until age 23 and when he got there he ops'd 808.

even compared to vientos/alvarez cliffords power at 20 years old for that level is kind of wow. vientos didnt get to AA until his age 21 because of the lost covid year and he ops'd 929. alvarez got there at 20 years old and he ops'd .922. mauricio got there at 20 and he ops'd 815 but only for 8 games. his next year there at 21 in a full sample he ops'd 767.
RE: RE: Clifford  
GF1080 : 7/10/2024 9:25 pm : link
In comment 16551456 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
In comment 16551455 GF1080 said:


Quote:


Added a 2nd HR this evening. 3/6 with 3 XBH.



ops up to .923, batting avg up to .230. ive compared him to duda a lot, duda didnt get to AA until age 23 and when he got there he ops'd 808.

even compared to vientos/alvarez cliffords power at 20 years old for that level is kind of wow. vientos didnt get to AA until his age 21 because of the lost covid year and he ops'd 929. alvarez got there at 20 years old and he ops'd .922. mauricio got there at 20 and he ops'd 815 but only for 8 games. his next year there at 21 in a full sample he ops'd 767.


Like I said he's my most interesting bat in system. Scouting reports underplay his power it seems. People forget he's only 20.
Saul  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 8:10 am : link
Garcia is not having a good season (allowed 5 runs last night striking out 6) but he's one of the more obvious "move him to the bullpen and you may have something there) arms in the system.
I've  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 8:20 am : link
been told Tong's innings limit is believe to be around 90, so that's roughly 18 innings left in his season
RE: I've  
GF1080 : 7/11/2024 8:21 am : link
In comment 16551551 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
been told Tong's innings limit is believe to be around 90, so that's roughly 18 innings left in his season


In that case they'll basically give him 3 inning stints to spread it out the rest of the season?
Clifford  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 8:26 am : link
“I’ve been working some counts a little better,” he said. “Getting the two strikes and being able to pick up a couple knocks here and there just to give myself a fighting chance by getting my best swing off early, but also trying to do good damage.”

RE: RE: I've  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 8:30 am : link
In comment 16551553 GF1080 said:
Quote:
In comment 16551551 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


been told Tong's innings limit is believe to be around 90, so that's roughly 18 innings left in his season



In that case they'll basically give him 3 inning stints to spread it out the rest of the season?


I don't know the actual "plan" but he's at 72 innings pitched... didn't debut in 2022 (his draft year), 21 innings last season. So he's at +51 innings on the season.
RE: RE: RE: I've  
GF1080 : 7/11/2024 8:34 am : link
In comment 16551557 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 16551553 GF1080 said:


Quote:


In comment 16551551 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


been told Tong's innings limit is believe to be around 90, so that's roughly 18 innings left in his season



In that case they'll basically give him 3 inning stints to spread it out the rest of the season?



I don't know the actual "plan" but he's at 72 innings pitched... didn't debut in 2022 (his draft year), 21 innings last season. So he's at +51 innings on the season.


Yeah agreed with you it's coming up but was curious if they'll totally shut him down or try and let him push on regular rotation but in smaller doses.
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 8:36 am : link
If he is indeed shut down at 90ish innings then he can go into next season with essentially "no" restrictions. How many SP are throwing more than 140 innings at this point? 90-100 is a good number headed into 2025. Sproat 106 last season, likely no restrictions or a high #
A+  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 8:40 am : link
Nimmo piece
Link - ( New Window )
Dan how hard does Tong throw?  
bhill410 : 7/11/2024 8:57 am : link
Tough to get a feel in that video for what he is sitting at. I continue to be amazed that our pitching prospects are driving the farm. Clifford really only bat performing at expectations (granted injuries contributed there).
RE: Dan how hard does Tong throw?  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 9:04 am : link
In comment 16551570 bhill410 said:
Quote:
Tough to get a feel in that video for what he is sitting at. I continue to be amazed that our pitching prospects are driving the farm. Clifford really only bat performing at expectations (granted injuries contributed there).



Last night he was 93-95,touched 96 a few times. FB has elite characteristics, ride shape, aka the type of fastball they used to say was a "rising" FB, it's the kind of FB that misses more bats than the pure velocity would suggest. His FB is already the type you can dream on (even without added velocity, which I do expect to come), the development of his secondaries will be the deciding factor (obviously health too)
RE: Tong is overrated by Mets twitter  
Section331 : 7/11/2024 9:10 am : link
In comment 16551286 CMicks3110 said:
Quote:
Everyone thinks he’s the next lincecum. Also I don’t think Christian Scott is that good. He’s OK.


The next Lincecum? Sign me up! He was a top 5 starter in his prime, his prime just happened to be short. That’s like saying he’s the next deGrom. I’ll take the upside and hope you can manage any injury risk.
RE: RE: Tong is overrated by Mets twitter  
Section331 : 7/11/2024 9:12 am : link
In comment 16551579 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 16551286 CMicks3110 said:


Quote:


Everyone thinks he’s the next lincecum. Also I don’t think Christian Scott is that good. He’s OK.



The next Lincecum? Sign me up! He was a top 5 starter in his prime, his prime just happened to be short. That’s like saying he’s the next deGrom. I’ll take the upside and hope you can manage any injury risk.


And another thing taking Twitter takes as gospel. Twitter has also been crying for the Mets to call up Acura NOW! Not everyone with a Twitter account knows baseball.
This is a broader discussion  
bhill410 : 7/11/2024 9:17 am : link
But at this point does anyone feel that they can count on anyone in the farm to be a back up outfielder to start the season next year? Unless Williams and Gilbert go to AFL and go gangbusters, the Mets will unfortunately have to be in the market for an outfielder And after Soto it’s not all that desirable. In theory you can resign Bader for cf and hope that the corpse of Marte can hold it together for the first 6-8 weeks. Another alternative would be to play Baty in LF and hope he can get his head on straight, let Alonso walk, and sign someone like adames and move him to 3rd. Anyway you cut it between the amount of payroll coming off and the amount of holes it is going to be a fascinating offseason.
RE: RE: Tong is overrated by Mets twitter  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 9:58 am : link
In comment 16551579 Section331 said:
Quote:
In comment 16551286 CMicks3110 said:


Quote:


Everyone thinks he’s the next lincecum. Also I don’t think Christian Scott is that good. He’s OK.



The next Lincecum? Sign me up! He was a top 5 starter in his prime, his prime just happened to be short. That’s like saying he’s the next deGrom. I’ll take the upside and hope you can manage any injury risk.


He’s saying Mets twitter is too high on Tong with unrealistic expectations. The projected next Lincecum would be the current top P prospect in baseball easily.
RE: This is a broader discussion  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 10:00 am : link
In comment 16551586 bhill410 said:
Quote:
But at this point does anyone feel that they can count on anyone in the farm to be a back up outfielder to start the season next year? Unless Williams and Gilbert go to AFL and go gangbusters, the Mets will unfortunately have to be in the market for an outfielder And after Soto it’s not all that desirable. In theory you can resign Bader for cf and hope that the corpse of Marte can hold it together for the first 6-8 weeks. Another alternative would be to play Baty in LF and hope he can get his head on straight, let Alonso walk, and sign someone like adames and move him to 3rd. Anyway you cut it between the amount of payroll coming off and the amount of holes it is going to be a fascinating offseason.


Jett Williams isn’t going to be an OD option (would mean he skipped AA and AAA after missing an entire season) Gilbert likely remains a viable option assuming he’s back by August or so. Otherwise, no. They don’t have much in the way of MLB ready or close to MLB ready OFers. Ramirez has been awful
Drew  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 10:07 am : link
Gilbert rehab assignment begins today! FCL
RE: Drew  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 10:15 am : link
In comment 16551627 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Gilbert rehab assignment begins today! FCL


It's been explained to me Gilbert did indeed have 2 set backs. 1 not involving his hammy at all.
,  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 10:19 am : link
My jinxes haven't been working with DJ Stewart, they did work with Ryan Clifford... so let's try this... Luisangel Acuna is 3 for his last 25 and 6 for his last 38 #Mets
RE: Drew  
GF1080 : 7/11/2024 10:23 am : link
In comment 16551627 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Gilbert rehab assignment begins today! FCL


Yes! Stay healthy and hit please.
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 10:24 am : link
Jose Subero summoned stateside. Joining @FCLMets. The 19 year old Subero was signed in October 2022 out of Porlamar, Venezuela #Mets
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 10:25 am : link
***IFA signing*** @mets have signed RHP Greidi Pina. The 17 year old Pina is listed at 6'4" 180 and has been assigned to DSL Mets Orange #Mets
Well that’s crazy timing on Gilbert  
bhill410 : 7/11/2024 11:07 am : link
If he can show anything to potentially have him be a OD starter that would really change the entire dynamic of the offseason.
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/11/2024 11:42 am : link
Mike Petriello
@mike_petriello
Wrote about Brandon Nimmo, who has ..

0 ASG
0 Gold Gloves
0 Silver Sluggers
0 ROY votes
0 MVP votes

.. and, with 25 career WAR, is one of the most valuable "never placed anywhere in an award" players of the last century. And I looked!
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