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2004 Draft What If - Giants Stick With Kerry Collins

Trainmaster : 7/11/2024 8:49 pm
This week's Hard Knocks and the QB discussions had me thinking about 2004. Obviously lots of differences (e.g. new head coach in 2004 with Coughlin) and some similarities (e.g. multiple highly rated QBs in the draft) between 2004 and 2024.

The fact that the Giants couldn't work out a trade before the draft or before the first pick was made on draft day, took a different QB rather than drafting a non-QB (as they did in 2024) or didn't trade down was of interest.

I had to go back and review the chronology of 2004 relative to Kerry Collins and Kurt Warner.

Quote:
NEW YORK, April 28 (UPI) -- The NFL's New York Giants Wednesday released Kerry Collins, their starting quarterback since 1999.

[The Giants acquired quarterback Eli Manning, the No. 1 pick in the 2004 draft last week, and the 31-year-old Collins refused to accept a pay cut to stay with the team.


How Daniel Jones would have reacted if the Giants had been successful trading up for Maye or had taken McCarthy/Penix/Nix at 6th we'll never know. Salary cap considerations mean Jones couldn't be released as Collins was.

and

Quote:
While no one knew it at the time, the story still had years to go before its conclusion. On June 1, 2004, the Rams released veteran quarterback Kurt Warner.


and

Quote:
Just two days after being released by the St. Louis Rams, Kurt Warner signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the New York Giants, a deal that included a second-year option worth twice that amount.


So Kurt Warner came to Giants after Eli was drafted, so he knew he was likely a "one year rental". Might the Giants have tried to sign Warner anyway to compete against Collins?


I'll keep my What If to Collins, since he was still the Giants QB when Eli was drafted. My What If seeks to compare the "move on from our current QB" decision in 2004 versus the "stick with our current QB" for at least one more year decision made in 2024.

I know this is very likely a futile request, but I'd like to keep the extreme Dan Jones Haters Club and the Daniel Jones Fan Club millering out of the discussion.

For reference, here's the top 12 picks in the 2004 draft:

Quote:
1 San Diego Chargers Eli Manning QB
2 Oakland Raiders Robert Gallery OT
3 Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald WR
4 New York Giants Philip Rivers QB
5 Washington Redskins Sean Taylor S
6 Cleveland Browns Kellen Winslow II TE
7 Detroit Lions Roy Williams WR
8 Atlanta Falcons DeAngelo Hall CB
9 Jacksonville Jaguars Reggie Williams WR
10 Houston Texans Dunta Robinson CB
11 Pittsburgh Steelers Ben Roethlisberger QB
12 New York Jets Jonathan Vilma LB


In the 2024 draft, there were several players (M Harrison, M Nabers) rated as high as the "2nd Tier QBs" (McCarthy, Nix & Penix) by many.

So Eli, Gallery and Fitzgerald are off the board. You're Accorsi & Coughlin, your brains have been altered to stick with Kerry Collins:

1) Who do you pick at 4th overall (trying to use the "conventional wisdom" of the time, not 20/20 hindsight)?

2) Does the player you take in 2004 have the buzz / potential that Nabers has in 2024?

I chose to not dig into the Giants 2004 roster, just going from memory. The Giants had Shockey at TE and Toomer and Hilliard at WR, with Tiki at RB. So drafting Winslow or Roy Williams seems unlikely based on need at least.

Seems like you either take De Angelo Hall (don't recall the 2004 CBs) or Sean Taylor.

I don't see offensive line talent worthy of the 4th overall pick.

My bottom line is there was more non-QB talent in the top 10 in 2024 than there was in 2004 (only time will tell). Since the Giants did want to move off of Collins in 2004, it would also be interesting to see how Rivers would have done in NY. I don't think either Rivers or Big Ben had the personality for the NY market.

Anyway, an exercise for the "minimal news" portion of the offseason.




......  
BrettNYG10 : 7/11/2024 9:00 pm : link
I think the Giants pick Big Ben if the trade was off the table. But if no QB, probably pick Taylor?

And then I imagine they pick Rodgers in the 2005 draft.
They asked Collins to stay, he refused  
steve in ky : 7/11/2024 9:05 pm : link
He wasn’t interested in holding down the spot for Eli, and once Collins chose to leave they signed Warner to fill that role
After My Original Post  
Trainmaster : 7/11/2024 9:07 pm : link
I thought that maybe they keep Collins, thinking that he needs even more weapons. Maybe a lot of 12 personnel. Shockey, Winslow, Toomer, Hillard and Tiki is pretty interesting. Of course they probably take Snee in the 2nd round.

The offensive line would likely still be a weak point.
I think we lean on the "personality for the NY media" thing too much  
j_rud : 7/11/2024 11:03 pm : link
It is a different animal to be sure but I think at times were guilty of belaboring the point in an attempt to reaffirm Eli was the right choice, by virtue of the other 2 having a hypothetical "failing" in this market. I think either would've been fine tbh. They were both winners, which is ultimately what matters most with the media and fans.
I'd want Roethlisberger, btw. Either QB. At the time  
j_rud : 7/11/2024 11:06 pm : link
and especially in hindsight. Non-QB answer is Taylor. He was talked about as possibly the best overall player in that class.
RE: I'd want Roethlisberger, btw. Either QB. At the time  
DonQuixote : 7/12/2024 5:49 am : link
In comment 16552225 j_rud said:
Quote:
and especially in hindsight. Non-QB answer is Taylor. He was talked about as possibly the best overall player in that class.


In hindsight, I would not want a rapist on the Giants under any circumstances.
If I recall Taylor was the most popular  
GiantTuff1 : 7/12/2024 7:08 am : link
buzzy player aside from the top 3 chosen and the QBs.

Some media were saying he would “change the position” in an LT like way. I think that would have been the pick.
Ernie said flat out that if the trade didn't happen he would  
Victor in CT : 7/12/2024 10:02 am : link
have just taken Roethlisberger and been happy.
Different scenario  
Reale01 : 7/12/2024 10:05 am : link
Rivers and Rothesberger were both rated higher than JJ McCarthy/Penix. So in that case it would have been a mistake not to go QB where as this year I think the Giants made the right call. Time will tell.
Majority of BBI  
Paulie Walnuts : 7/12/2024 10:49 am : link
Wanted Taylor if we didn't go QB
Most likely outcome would have been  
Shecky : 7/12/2024 10:51 am : link
Trade down to Cleve for the 2nd rounder, and draft Big Ben.

As good as it turned out with Eli, that's a scenario that might have been as good or better. Subtracting that Roth was an asshole rapist, of course...
I wanted to draft Sean Taylor in the 1st Round...  
Klaatu : 7/12/2024 10:54 am : link
QB Matt Schaub in the 2nd.
This was such a fascinating time on BBI  
Jerry in_DC : 7/12/2024 10:58 am : link
And it's such and interesting draft both at the time and in retrospect.

First you have to remember that Eli was not likely to be available to us since we were picking at 4. But there were lots of Eli v. Ben debates nonetheless. Basically nobody thought Rivers was good.

The big debates were QB vs. Gallery vs. Taylor. And a little bit of Fitz. Gallery had huge support here.

And there were plenty of people who wanted to keep Collins. It had been long time since the Giants had a dangerous downfield passing game. Really, 2002 might have been the best, most exciting Giants offense we had ever seen. It was not crazy to want to keep Collins and build around him.

That draft was so deeply discussed and debated. I learned a lot from it and it's still very interesting to analyze.
RE: They asked Collins to stay, he refused  
Section331 : 7/12/2024 11:41 am : link
In comment 16552175 steve in ky said:
Quote:
He wasn’t interested in holding down the spot for Eli, and once Collins chose to leave they signed Warner to fill that role


This. I was disappointed that KC wanted out, but totally understood it.
If - Giants Stick With Kerry Collins  
cjac : 7/12/2024 11:43 am : link
5 Bowls soon handle would be 3 Bowls soon
RE: RE: I'd want Roethlisberger, btw. Either QB. At the time  
j_rud : 7/12/2024 5:17 pm : link
In comment 16552241 DonQuixote said:
Quote:
In comment 16552225 j_rud said:


Quote:


and especially in hindsight. Non-QB answer is Taylor. He was talked about as possibly the best overall player in that class.



In hindsight, I would not want a rapist on the Giants under any circumstances.


No one would Galahad, it's a point that really shouldn't need to be mentioned. This thread was a hypothetical about the 2004 draft which to that point was merely about player skill and roster building. You're a great guy tho.
If we drafted Rivers...  
DefenseWins : 7/12/2024 5:20 pm : link
and held onto him, I still think we win championships with him.
20 years later, if Kerry Collins had been the 2023 starting QB  
Ivan15 : 7/12/2024 6:19 pm : link
And was 31 in 2024, would the Giants be looking to replace him?

I think Collins could have been everything Daboll wants in a QB. They may have been looking for a QB to groom to replace Collins over the next 3-4 seasons but not looking for someone to be the 2024 starter if Collins flopped.
RE: This was such a fascinating time on BBI  
jnoble : 7/12/2024 6:47 pm : link
In comment 16552381 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
And it's such and interesting draft both at the time and in retrospect.

First you have to remember that Eli was not likely to be available to us since we were picking at 4. But there were lots of Eli v. Ben debates nonetheless. Basically nobody thought Rivers was good.

The big debates were QB vs. Gallery vs. Taylor. And a little bit of Fitz. Gallery had huge support here.

And there were plenty of people who wanted to keep Collins. It had been long time since the Giants had a dangerous downfield passing game. Really, 2002 might have been the best, most exciting Giants offense we had ever seen. It was not crazy to want to keep Collins and build around him.

That draft was so deeply discussed and debated. I learned a lot from it and it's still very interesting to analyze.

The 2002 team is one of my all-time favorites, especially on offense
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 7/12/2024 6:50 pm : link
I wanted Eli because of the bloodlines & I thought it was time for a fresh start with a new HC.

I loved Collins though. Dude had a cannon. Of course he wasn't mobile @ all so he needed a good OL to keep him clean.
RE: ...  
jnoble : 7/12/2024 8:14 pm : link
In comment 16552634 SFGFNCGiantsFan said:
Quote:
I wanted Eli because of the bloodlines & I thought it was time for a fresh start with a new HC.

I loved Collins though. Dude had a cannon. Of course he wasn't mobile @ all so he needed a good OL to keep him clean.

I really liked Kerry also and wanted to keep him in 2004 and rebuild the O-Line starting with Robert Gallery however there’s absolutely no way he would have been able to do with Eli did in those two incredible Super Bowl wins
It's an interesting question  
Matt M. : 7/14/2024 8:32 am : link
Going into that draft, I was torn, as were many Giants fans, over Gallery or a QB. Now, I did not want to trade up for a QB because our draft position didn't require it. I always felt Manning was the top QB in the draft. But, the drop off to #2, who I viewed as Roethlisberger, was not significant. So, I wanted to stand pat and take Roethlisberger. Talent-wise, I think he accomplishes the same. But, given Roethlisberger's off the field issues, one has to wonder how he would have fared long term playing in NY.

As for Gallery, that would have been a disaster, especially if we traded up for him. The only other player I viewed as worthy of that pick was Taylor and I'm not sure I would have gone S there.

As for Collins himself, I loved him and I respect the Hell out of him. But, I also think he already took the Giants as far as he could and it was time to move on, especially with a new coach. To me the biggest question is not should we have drafted a QB to replace him, but rather would we have been better with him returning as the #1 to mentor the rookie? Warner was a nice bridge to keep us competitive, but he was not a great mentor.

This is an interesting conversation. But, I was thrilled once we had Manning in tow and love the career he had.
We were lucky to have Manning  
upnyg : 7/14/2024 6:03 pm : link
and as many thought, he was missed after he left.

The bigger disappointment was how the Giants squandered his last years here with bad drafting and bad HC coaching after TC.
RE: We were lucky to have Manning  
Matt M. : 7/14/2024 6:07 pm : link
In comment 16553370 upnyg said:
Quote:
and as many thought, he was missed after he left.

The bigger disappointment was how the Giants squandered his last years here with bad drafting and bad HC coaching after TC.
Amen.
...  
SFGFNCGiantsFan : 7/14/2024 6:10 pm : link
I know I sound like a broken record on this, but I'm convinced that if we had drafted Big Ben...he'd still be serving a lengthy jail sentence for sexual assault.
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