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NFT: Mets Draft thread: July 14th to July 16th

Optimus-NY : 7/13/2024 11:52 am
Round 1 will take place tomorrow starting at 7 pm EDT in Fort Worth, Texas. The Rangers are hosting the All-Star Game this year, so the draft is gonna take place in their vicinity as a result. Day 1 of the MLB Draft (rounds 1 & 2) will be televised by ESPN and MLB Network. It's a three-day event consisting of 20 rounds. 615 players will be picked during that time. The Mets will be picking 19th in Round 1 tomorrow to start things off. Let's post any and all info about it here as it relates to the Mets. Feel free to chat and discuss away here please.

MLB.com - 2024 MLB Draft Central

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2024 MLB Draft preview: Dates, order, top prospects, watch info and more: Here's everything to know for the 2024 MLB Draft, including dates, first-round order, prospects and more. | By Logan Reardon • Published July 9, 2024


Quote:
On Sunday, July 14th, Major League Baseball will host its 59th annual Rule 4 draft, better known as the first-year player draft. Thanks to their 75-87 recording during the 2023 season, the Mets ended up with a 4.3% chance to receive the first overall selection in the 2024 MLB Draft Lottery, a 4.8% chance to receive the second overall pick, a 5.4% chance to receive the third overall pick, a 6.0% chance to receive the fourth overall pick, a 7.0% to receive the fifth overall pick, and a 8.2% to receive the sixth overall pick. The Mets did not win any of these picks, and as such, were relegated to the ninth overall pick. Because the 2023 Mets exceeded the competitive balance tax threshold by more than $40 million dollars, their first selection dropped by 10 picks, meaning that their first selection will instead be the 19th overall pick instead.


2024 Mets Draft: An introduction to Major League Baseball’s draft: The amateur draft is right around the corner. Where will the Mets be selecting, and just how does the process work? | By Steve Sypa @SteveSypa | July 8, 2024, 11:00am EDT

MLB.com - 2024 MLB Draft Order

The Mets will be picking 19th in Round 1 as stated above. Here are some other picks to be aware of:

RD 2 - #46 overall
RD 3 - #82 overall
RD 4 - #111 overall
RD 5 - #144 overall
RD 6 - #173 overall
RD 7 - #203 overall
RD 8 - #233 overall
RD 9 - #263 overall
RD 10 - #293 overall
RDs 11 to 20 - The Mets will make a selection every 30 picks

Here's some info about slot money linked form the AmazinAvenue article linked above:

Quote:
The Mets will have a total bonus pool allotment of $9,572,200. Their first round selection, the 19th overall pick, has an MLB-assigned slot value of $4,219,200. Their second round selection has an MLB-assigned slot value of $2,031,700. Their third round pick has an MLB-assigned slot value of $934,800. Their fourth round pick has an MLB-assigned slot value of $656,400. Their fifth round selection has an MLB-assigned slot value of $476,200. Their sixth round selection has an MLB-assigned slot value of $363,100. Their seventh round pick has an MLB-assigned slot value of $283,800. Their eighth round pick has an MLB-assigned slot value of $226,000. Their ninth round selection has an MLB-assigned slot value of $196,700. Their tenth round selection has an MLB-assigned slot value of $184,300. Picks in rounds 11 to 20 do not have MLB-assigned slot values, but any money spent over $150,000 for those players gets deducted from the team’s bonus pool.


Here's a link to keep track of players picked in the draft:
MLB.com - 2024 DRAFT TRACKER

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Here are some Mock Draft articles and videos:

2024 MLB Mock Draft 3.0: Mets take toolsy outfielder: Vance Honeycutt has a chance to be a Gold Glove center fielder who hits 20 homers and steals 20 bases | 7/12/2024, 12:30 PM | By Joe DeMayo MLB Prospects Freelance Writer

2024 MLB Mock Draft Has Mets Selecting Intriguing ACC Infielder: The Mets are projected to take an appealing prospect with a legendary name during this year's MLB Draft. | By Grant Young | July 12, 2024

What's on tap for Mets at 2024 MLB Draft? | July 12th, 2024 | By Anthony DiComo @AnthonyDiComo

METS, STEARNS LIKELY TO ‘SHIFT DRAFT PHILOSOPHY’ FOR 2024 | Posted by Allison Waxman | July 8, 2024 | MMO.com


VIDEOS:

Here are potential Mets targets with the 19th pick in the 2024 MLB Draft | The Mets Pod | SNY

MLB Draft Preview with Jim Callis, Mets stay even on road, try to rise at home | The Mets Pod | SNY - July 10, 2024

Diving Deep Into The Mets 2023 Draft Class - July 10, 2024
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Top 650  
Mike in NY : 7/16/2024 10:16 am : link
https://mlbdrafthq.wordpress.com/
Jelkin  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 10:16 am : link
was removed from other teams boards due to both medical concerns and off field "red flags". Not exactly a shocker given he was thrown off the Cornhuskers in 2022
BA  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 10:20 am : link
names both the Braves and Yankees 2 of their top 5 most compelling draft classes through the first 10 rounds
BA's  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 10:23 am : link
best remaining

45 Dax Whitney RHP Blackfoot (Idaho) HS HS 6-5 195 18.5 Idaho
53 Garrett Shull OF Enid (Okla.) HS HS 6-1 205 19.0 Oklahoma
57 Tegan Kuhns RHP Gettysburg (Pa.) Area HS HS 6-3 177 19.2 Pennsylvania
64 Colby Shelton SS Florida 4YR 6-0 200 21.6 Florida
69 Hunter Carns C/OF First Coast HS, Jacksonville, Fla. HS 6-0 195 19.3 Florida
76 Sawyer Farr SS Boswell HS, Fort Worth, Texas HS 6-4 170 19.1 Texas
78 Carson Wiggins RHP Roland (Okla.) HS HS 6-5 210 19.1 Oklahoma
92 D’marion Terrell OF Thompson HS, Alabaster, Ala. HS 6-3 206 18.4 Alabama
93 Mason Russell LHP Casteel HS, Queen Creek, Ariz. HS 6-1 185 18.3 Arizona
95 Duncan Marsten RHP Harvard-Westlake HS, Sudio City, Calif. HS 6-4 215 19.1 California
97 Connor Gatwood RHP Baker HS, Mobile, Ala. HS 6-5 195 18.8 Alabama
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 10:32 am : link
RE: BA's  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 12:07 pm : link
In comment 16553977 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
best remaining

45 Dax Whitney RHP Blackfoot (Idaho) HS HS 6-5 195 18.5 Idaho
53 Garrett Shull OF Enid (Okla.) HS HS 6-1 205 19.0 Oklahoma
57 Tegan Kuhns RHP Gettysburg (Pa.) Area HS HS 6-3 177 19.2 Pennsylvania
64 Colby Shelton SS Florida 4YR 6-0 200 21.6 Florida
69 Hunter Carns C/OF First Coast HS, Jacksonville, Fla. HS 6-0 195 19.3 Florida
76 Sawyer Farr SS Boswell HS, Fort Worth, Texas HS 6-4 170 19.1 Texas
78 Carson Wiggins RHP Roland (Okla.) HS HS 6-5 210 19.1 Oklahoma
92 D’marion Terrell OF Thompson HS, Alabaster, Ala. HS 6-3 206 18.4 Alabama
93 Mason Russell LHP Casteel HS, Queen Creek, Ariz. HS 6-1 185 18.3 Arizona
95 Duncan Marsten RHP Harvard-Westlake HS, Sudio City, Calif. HS 6-4 215 19.1 California
97 Connor Gatwood RHP Baker HS, Mobile, Ala. HS 6-5 195 18.8 Alabama

s
Kuhns says he's going to school
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 12:21 pm : link
Pick 8 (173rd overall), Mets: Corey Collins, 1B, Georgia (No. 170)
While Bulldogs teammate Charlie Condon led the nation in many categories, Collins topped Division I with a .574 on-base percentage. His 1.346 OPS also ranked sixth. He thrives on getting walks and hit-by-pitches, but his above-average power gets the best offensive grades heading into pro ball. A former catcher, he’s likely limited to first base at the next level.
No!  
Mike in NY : 7/16/2024 2:06 pm : link
St. Louis took Jon Jon!
Roselli  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 2:16 pm : link
Actually sounds somewhat interesting
Link - ( New Window )
Round 12 Pick  
GF1080 : 7/16/2024 2:28 pm : link
RHP Ethan Lanthier Kansas
Lanthier  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 2:32 pm : link
Huge kid but not overpowering 91-93 per Aaron Fitt

Today it's brunch at O'Brate, where @OSUBaseball is hosting @KUBaseball. Jayhawks RHP Ethan Lanthier picked up where I last saw him on the Cape - looked great in a perfect inning with 2 Ks. Spotting up both sides at 91-93 T94, good sharp slider with big tilt. Key newcomer for KU.
Lanthier  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 2:32 pm : link
Huge kid but not overpowering 91-93 per Aaron Fitt

Today it's brunch at O'Brate, where @OSUBaseball is hosting @KUBaseball. Jayhawks RHP Ethan Lanthier picked up where I last saw him on the Cape - looked great in a perfect inning with 2 Ks. Spotting up both sides at 91-93 T94, good sharp slider with big tilt. Key newcomer for KU.
Taylor Blake Ward on the pick  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 2:37 pm : link
Mets 12-353: Ethan Lanthier, RHP, Kansas -- tall/loose reliever, lively low/mid 90s FB, avg/abv sweepy SL, fair CH, phys/arsenal to start though blw-avg control and mechanics make for relief only outlook
Round 13 Pick  
GF1080 : 7/16/2024 2:42 pm : link
RHP R.J. Gordon Oregon
Prospects live  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 2:58 pm : link
wrote about Gordon when I caught the Ducks at Globe Life Field the first weekend of the season. He was filling up the zone with a 92-93 cut ride fastball, landing a big 12-6 breaker, and turning over an average changeup. I felt like his pitch mix was missing an out pitch vs right-handers, and that a sweeper would fit his arm slot and supination-heavy profile, as he was only throwing a low to mid 80’s cuttery slider. Well, it looks like before his March 15th start vs Cal, Gordon added a sweeper full-time and is throwing his cutter harder. Averaging 13 inches of sweep at 83 MPH, this sweeper has the makings of a true out pitch vs right handed hitters.

However, there have been some struggles for Gordon learning this pitch, as it only has a 20% miss rate, but I would argue this is likely Gordon is still gaining feel for a pitch that’s tough to command, let alone learn in-season. This pitch will flash double plus, as the video below is one with positive IVB, almost 20 inches of sweep, and throw 84 MPH, but Gordon is still gaining feel for it. While the pitch shape averages are good, it’s been a bit more inconsistent than you’d like. It’s a pitch he leaves over the heart of the plate a bit too often, and while it may get some called strikes, in predictable counts hitters can sit on it and do damage as long as they see it out of the hand. I like Gordon’s pitch mix a lot. While the results haven’t fully been there, tinkering in season can be tough, especially for a guy who missed all of 2023 with an injury. On top of this, given the run-scoring environment in college baseball in 2024, Gordon has a solid set of skills that I believe should translate better than his baseball card numbers may indicate. I still think there’s a #5 starter upside here, especially if the right team gets ahold of him.
Round 14 Pick  
GF1080 : 7/16/2024 3:03 pm : link
RHP Tanner Witt Texas
From mlb.com  
Mike in NY : 7/16/2024 3:08 pm : link
The son of former big leaguer Kevin Witt, Tanner received offers of late first-round money out of high school in 2020 but he wanted to play in college at Texas. A key reliever on the Longhorns' 2021 College World Series team, he showed first-round stuff in two starts the following spring before blowing out his elbow and needing Tommy John surgery. Before he got hurt, he showcased a pair of plus pitches in a 92-95 mph fastball that touched 97 with run and carry and a upper-70s downer curveball. His stuff hasn't bounced back as he has given up 20 runs in as many innings during the last two seasons, and he had a minor procedure to clean up scar tissue in his elbow this spring. It's unclear what his future holds now, but it's time for a fresh start in pro ball.

Gordon has a lot of innings  
KDavies : 7/16/2024 3:08 pm : link
compared to most of these other guys

probably shut down this year, but could be on track for a full workload next year
Here are useful links to watch/follow Day #3 of the draft today:  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 3:12 pm : link
**(Rounds 11 to 20 starting at 2 pm EDT; last day of the Draft)**

2024 MLB Draft - MLB Network feed - 2 pm EDT start (mlb.com)

2024 DRAFT TRACKER - Sorted by round - MLB.com

2024 DRAFT TRACKER - Sorted by team - NY Mets - MLB.com

MMO MLB DRAFT THREAD: DAY 3, 2:00 PM | Posted by Patrick Glynn | Jul 16, 2024
RE: From mlb.com  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:15 pm : link
In comment 16554163 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
The son of former big leaguer Kevin Witt, Tanner received offers of late first-round money out of high school in 2020 but he wanted to play in college at Texas. A key reliever on the Longhorns' 2021 College World Series team, he showed first-round stuff in two starts the following spring before blowing out his elbow and needing Tommy John surgery. Before he got hurt, he showcased a pair of plus pitches in a 92-95 mph fastball that touched 97 with run and carry and a upper-70s downer curveball. His stuff hasn't bounced back as he has given up 20 runs in as many innings during the last two seasons, and he had a minor procedure to clean up scar tissue in his elbow this spring. It's unclear what his future holds now, but it's time for a fresh start in pro ball.


Sounds like a Syndergaard situation unfortunately


“ Tanner Witt is a sad story of being a special arm who just couldn't return fully healthy after Tommy John, no doubt he could return to some form but the current state is not a fun one -- good kid and hope he can get back to what he was once projected to become”
Mets' picks for Days 1 and 2 (Rounds 1 to 10) are listed below:  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 3:16 pm : link
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:16 pm : link
Mets 14-413: Tanner Witt, RHP, Texas -- last year was seen as 1st-rder w/ mid-rotation upside but hasn't seen healthy return from TJ, presently upper 80s FB w/ limited feel for o/s but was once high spin FB/CV strike-thrower, purely dreaming on returning to half of his upside
RE: RE: From mlb.com  
Mike in NY : 7/16/2024 3:17 pm : link
In comment 16554169 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 16554163 Mike in NY said:


Quote:


The son of former big leaguer Kevin Witt, Tanner received offers of late first-round money out of high school in 2020 but he wanted to play in college at Texas. A key reliever on the Longhorns' 2021 College World Series team, he showed first-round stuff in two starts the following spring before blowing out his elbow and needing Tommy John surgery. Before he got hurt, he showcased a pair of plus pitches in a 92-95 mph fastball that touched 97 with run and carry and a upper-70s downer curveball. His stuff hasn't bounced back as he has given up 20 runs in as many innings during the last two seasons, and he had a minor procedure to clean up scar tissue in his elbow this spring. It's unclear what his future holds now, but it's time for a fresh start in pro ball.




Sounds like a Syndergaard situation unfortunately


“ Tanner Witt is a sad story of being a special arm who just couldn't return fully healthy after Tommy John, no doubt he could return to some form but the current state is not a fun one -- good kid and hope he can get back to what he was once projected to become”


Even if he only gets only a portion back from where he is now that is more upside than your typical Day 3 pick so I have no issue giving him a shot.
Tanner Witt is basically a younger Syndergaard  
Metnut : 7/16/2024 3:19 pm : link
and fall into the 1-2% of pitchers who don't recover from TJ.

Witt is still young enough that it's a nice day 3 pick to see if maybe over time he's able to regain his arm.
Here are the Mets' picks today so far (RDs 11-14) listed below:  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 3:19 pm : link
Round 15 is underway at the moment.



McKeever  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:20 pm : link
Mets have selected Tanner Witt from Texas here in the 14th

He’s someone everyone is rooting for,
potential first rounder before getting TJ. Worked his ass off to come back in 2023. His velo has been down since. Also, he had a procedure to clean up scar tissue this spring.

Best of luck to him
Seems like the Mets are mostly ignoring organizational filler  
Metnut : 7/16/2024 3:20 pm : link
and just picking up lotto tickets
article on Roselli  
KDavies : 7/16/2024 3:21 pm : link
exciting day for good old BU. Grew up near there, going to the B-Mets games. Would be neat for him if he made it to AA there.

"He is the first Binghamton second baseman to ever be drafted and is the school's highest position player taken in 34 years."


Link - ( New Window )
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:25 pm : link
Witt had TJ March 2022, so hope for the best, and zero risk in the 14th round but it’s going on 2.5 years (and a secondary scar tissue surgery this past Spring) #Mets

Writer told me Roselli can really hit. Said he’s probably not a big leaguer but he’s not “for sure” not one
RE: Seems like the Mets are mostly ignoring organizational filler  
Shecky : 7/16/2024 3:28 pm : link
In comment 16554182 Metnut said:
Quote:
and just picking up lotto tickets

Depth is NOT their problem 😂
RE: RE: Seems like the Mets are mostly ignoring organizational filler  
Eric on Li : 7/16/2024 3:31 pm : link
In comment 16554192 Shecky said:
Quote:
In comment 16554182 Metnut said:


Quote:


and just picking up lotto tickets


Depth is NOT their problem 😂


Woodward  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:33 pm : link
… is this guy haha
Link - ( New Window )
RE: Woodward  
Mike in NY : 7/16/2024 3:36 pm : link
In comment 16554198 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
… is this guy haha Link - ( New Window )


He and Jelkin should work well together. Mets scouts in KS/OK/TX putting in a lot of work.
Check out the live analysis below:  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 3:42 pm : link
LIVE: Draft Day 3 round-by-round analysis
They were just talking about T. Witt on the live analysis link I just  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 3:45 pm : link
posted above. Said he received 1st round money during the Pandemic year of 2020, but really wanted to go to U.T. If the Mets can get and keep him healthy, they've got a steal.

Ryan Clifford was an 11th round pick.  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 3:47 pm : link
They just mentioned that tidbit a minute or so ago.
Since the Mets are taking every USC arm  
Mike in NY : 7/16/2024 3:52 pm : link
Will Jaden Agassi be next?

Angels' recent selection is the brother of Mets prospect Paul Gervase
Binghamton U has another player I'd take a look at later (or in FA)  
KDavies : 7/16/2024 3:52 pm : link
Nelson Berkwich. Lefty who started out at Vandy. Out of the bullpen there two years. ERA was around 3.00. Transferred to NC. Didn't get much play there. Transferred to Binghamton last year. 4.77 ERA. Really has not gotten his velocity up past the low 90s. If he does, he could be something.

Has excelled in wood bat leagues. Last summer, 0.84 ERA. Summer before 1.96 ERA in Cape Cod league.
RE: They were just talking about T. Witt on the live analysis link I just  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:54 pm : link
In comment 16554206 Optimus-NY said:
Quote:
posted above. Said he received 1st round money during the Pandemic year of 2020, but really wanted to go to U.T. If the Mets can get and keep him healthy, they've got a steal.




That's the issue, he didn't recover from TJ. FB sits high 80's now. This isn't a "fragile" situation, it's a Syndergaard situation, didn't recover from TJ
Blum had excellent numbers as a closer  
KDavies : 7/16/2024 3:56 pm : link
last year
Link - ( New Window )
Will  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:57 pm : link
Gervase is predicatbly twll... 6'9"... but lefty
Rylan Bannon traded to Twins  
Archer : 7/16/2024 3:59 pm : link
I hope he gets a chance there.
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 3:59 pm : link

PG College Baseball
Paid

@PGCollegeBall
·
May 21
Josh Blum (‘24 elig.) records a quick 1-2-3 inning to close it out. Heavy CU/SL usage. CU sat 87-88 mph with short, late bite. Creates late tilting action SL at 82-84 mph (2570 rpm). Attacks the zone and works quickly
@USC_Baseball
fastball per USC analytics for Blum  
KDavies : 7/16/2024 4:06 pm : link
velocity: 96 mph
spin rate: 2,337 rpm
horizon. break: 14"
IVB: 24"
Dan's favorite player  
Mike in NY : 7/16/2024 4:07 pm : link
Goes to the White Sox!
RE: Dan's favorite player  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 4:08 pm : link
In comment 16554238 Mike in NY said:
Quote:
Goes to the White Sox!


He'll be in the middle of their lineup 2028 when they are good again!
RE: Rylan Bannon traded to Twins  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 4:14 pm : link
In comment 16554231 Archer said:
Quote:
I hope he gets a chance there.


Draft talk only on this thread. Post this on the thread linked below:

NFT: ⚾🧢Mets fans All-Star Break thread: July 15th - July 19th🧢⚾ | Optimus-NY | 7/15/2024 | 11:09 am
RE: RE: They were just talking about T. Witt on the live analysis link I just  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 4:15 pm : link
In comment 16554220 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 16554206 Optimus-NY said:


Quote:


posted above. Said he received 1st round money during the Pandemic year of 2020, but really wanted to go to U.T. If the Mets can get and keep him healthy, they've got a steal.






That's the issue, he didn't recover from TJ. FB sits high 80's now. This isn't a "fragile" situation, it's a Syndergaard situation, didn't recover from TJ


Thanks Dan. I should've read the earlier post.
List of Day 3 picks so far for the Mets (RDs 11-17):  
Optimus-NY : 7/16/2024 4:19 pm : link
They've got 3 more selections to make





2024 MLB Draft - Draft Tracker - Mets - ( New Window )
Jacoby  
DanMetroMan : 7/16/2024 4:21 pm : link
Long sounds like an organizational filler type to me. Can’t all be exciting picks
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