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If the Giants Traded Barkley - What Could They Have Gotten?

gersh : 7/17/2024 11:29 am
Every thread seems to be bashing Schoen for not trading Barkley at the deadline.

What could they have reasonably gotten in return- knowing Saquon's contract requirements?
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christian : 7/17/2024 12:34 pm : link
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.
RE: …  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:35 pm : link
In comment 16554834 christian said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.


For our friend Shyster, for the avoidance of any doubt.
RE: …  
uther99 : 7/17/2024 12:36 pm : link
In comment 16554834 christian said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.


I don't get the bashing Schoen over this, but your point is taken.
RE: And the compensation isn't the only factor  
TyreeHelmet : 7/17/2024 12:37 pm : link
In comment 16554785 gersh said:
Quote:
1- Trading him would truly be like giving up on the season. That would is not a great message to the players
2- Barkley would need it to be the right team and at the right money - further limiting his trade value


They traded Leonard Williams...
I think JS was keeping his options open for this year  
56goat : 7/17/2024 12:38 pm : link
by not trading SB at the deadline and I don't think Mara would have reacted well if JS proposed a deadline deal last year. Personally I think every year the Giants should explore options to buy or sell depending on the market and return. Like the Burns deal this offseason, you never know what is possible unless you have talk to other teams.
RE: …  
shyster : 7/17/2024 12:38 pm : link
In comment 16554834 christian said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.


At the very least, I've prevented you from spreading misinformation about how comp picks work.
...  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:44 pm : link
I 100% get the benefit of hindsight in assessing plausibility and reception.

Do I think the Giants would have traded Barkley and paid his salary? No, their actions tell us otherwise. I don't possess the level of divination to reveal why, but what actually happened is good enough for me.

The question is simply, what could they have received? And maybe folded into that, would that have been a better outcome for the Giants?

If Barkley leaving as an UFA is part of the alchemy that spits out a 4th round 2025 compensatory pick, that's fair. I think we can all agree a 3rd round 2024 common pick is a better outcome.

If trading Barkley also would have kept him out of the division, I think that's a silver lining as well. Kill Schoen? I'm not in a mood for that. But in hindsight I wish better things had happened for the Giants.
RE: RE: …  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:50 pm : link
In comment 16554843 shyster said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.

At the very least, I've prevented you from spreading misinformation about how comp picks work.


You are a modern day defender of the vale.

Quote:
And granted the comp projections are both mysteriously and fluid, but OTC projects the Giants will earn a 4th round comp pick as a result of McKinney, and Barkley is nullified because of Runyan.


RE: ...  
gersh : 7/17/2024 12:51 pm : link
In comment 16554845 christian said:
Quote:
I 100% get the benefit of hindsight in assessing plausibility and reception.

Do I think the Giants would have traded Barkley and paid his salary? No, their actions tell us otherwise. I don't possess the level of divination to reveal why, but what actually happened is good enough for me.

The question is simply, what could they have received? And maybe folded into that, would that have been a better outcome for the Giants?

If Barkley leaving as an UFA is part of the alchemy that spits out a 4th round 2025 compensatory pick, that's fair. I think we can all agree a 3rd round 2024 common pick is a better outcome.

If trading Barkley also would have kept him out of the division, I think that's a silver lining as well. Kill Schoen? I'm not in a mood for that. But in hindsight I wish better things had happened for the Giants.


Well defended. We will agree to disagree.
RE: Trade  
4xchamps : 7/17/2024 12:54 pm : link
In comment 16554761 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
Lets assume the Giants wouldn't trade him to Dallas or Philly. That leaves baltimore, buff, texans and maybe the Chiefs as the other likely interested teams.

Best case is probably one of those teams late 2nd which falls between 59-64 overall. 3rd rounder might be more likely but I think a late 2nd would have possible and definitely worth it.

But did he even try? Thats the fair criticism and something we probably don't know the real answer to.


How is it a fair criticism if you don't know if he tried or not?
The guy was back only couple weeks from yet another injury  
UberAlias : 7/17/2024 12:56 pm : link
And all the world knew he was going to hit FA in couple months and could be had without giving any picks.

We're talking a 5th rounder.
RE: RE: RE: …  
shyster : 7/17/2024 12:58 pm : link
In comment 16554851 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16554843 shyster said:


Quote:


Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.

At the very least, I've prevented you from spreading misinformation about how comp picks work.



You are a modern day defender of the vale.



Quote:


And granted the comp projections are both mysteriously and fluid, but OTC projects the Giants will earn a 4th round comp pick as a result of McKinney, and Barkley is nullified because of Runyan.





If Barkley were not on the ledger, McKinney would drop down in his place and be cancelled out, because there would then be just as many NYG FAs going as coming.

You can see this if you look at the Jets ledger for comparison. Bryce Huff is projected as a 4, but he is still cancelled out by a 6.

As for the premise of this thread, it was about the bashing of Schoen for not getting what he could have gotten. If he could never have gotten Mara to pay SB's salary to pay for someone else, then it's pertinent to point that out.
...  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:58 pm : link
Gersh, I don't know we even disagree. For factors that require a level of guessing I'm certainly not equipped to make, the Giants didn't do it.

In a vacuum could they have received a 3rd or possibly 4th round common pick? I think that comfortably sits in the realm of possibilities.
RE: .  
mfjmfj : 7/17/2024 12:59 pm : link
In comment 16554760 Danny Kanell said:
Quote:
I think they could have gotten a 4th.
I agree. And so if the comp picks go as expected they get a 3rd in 2025 rather than a 4th in 2024. Same thing. And you can spin the story to players that you are loyal as a franchise.
RE: ...  
gersh : 7/17/2024 1:03 pm : link
In comment 16554864 christian said:
Quote:
Gersh, I don't know we even disagree. For factors that require a level of guessing I'm certainly not equipped to make, the Giants didn't do it.

In a vacuum could they have received a 3rd or possibly 4th round common pick? I think that comfortably sits in the realm of possibilities.


I agree. and that does answer the question I posed.
Where I think we disagree is the fallout from such a trade.
I believe it would have been significantly negative.

That said, a big part of me wishes we lost a few more games last season. If DJ went down before the trade deadline, I'm not sure how that would have effected the decision to no trade Barkley.

This same team with Caleb, Daniels or Maye (even without Nabers, would make me much more hopeful).
Is it fair to say that if Barkley had agreed to a $10 million contract  
Marty in Albany : 7/17/2024 1:14 pm : link
the Giants would gladly have paid it?

Under that set of facts Barkley is worth 10 million. A player worth 10 million would certainly have trade value.

The Giants got some 'splaining to do.
RE: Is it fair to say that if Barkley had agreed to a $10 million contract  
gersh : 7/17/2024 1:19 pm : link
In comment 16554873 Marty in Albany said:
Quote:
the Giants would gladly have paid it?

Under that set of facts Barkley is worth 10 million. A player worth 10 million would certainly have trade value.

The Giants got some 'splaining to do.


But the question is not - what's his value? (as a UFA)
It is what is his trade value knowing he demanded (and received) significantly more than $10 mil/year
The answer seems to be a 3rd or 4th rounder
 
christian : 7/17/2024 1:30 pm : link
I'll tread lightly on why Barkley was a sacred cow, but Leonard Williams, a better and more valuable player was not. It doesn't pass the intellectual threshold, the emotional criteria is best debated by more clairvoyant BBIers.

What I wish had happened is the Giants traded Barkley out of the division for an outcome better than the contribution to a 4th round 2025 compensatory pick.

I think a 3rd round common pick in the low 90s would have been fair.

And I think the delta in value between a low 90s pick in 2024 and presumed pick in the 130s in 2025, would have been worth it.
RE: The guy was back only couple weeks from yet another injury  
bw in dc : 7/17/2024 1:37 pm : link
In comment 16554859 UberAlias said:
Quote:
And all the world knew he was going to hit FA in couple months and could be had without giving any picks.

We're talking a 5th rounder.


There is something to that...to a degree.

However, playoff bound teams could have seen Barkley as a good short term rental and another weapon for their offense.

Baltimore, Buffalo, Saints, Colts come to mind...
RE: …  
gersh : 7/17/2024 1:38 pm : link
In comment 16554880 christian said:
Quote:
I'll tread lightly on why Barkley was a sacred cow, but Leonard Williams, a better and more valuable player was not. It doesn't pass the intellectual threshold, the emotional criteria is best debated by more clairvoyant BBIers.

What I wish had happened is the Giants traded Barkley out of the division for an outcome better than the contribution to a 4th round 2025 compensatory pick.

I think a 3rd round common pick in the low 90s would have been fair.

And I think the delta in value between a low 90s pick in 2024 and presumed pick in the 130s in 2025, would have been worth it.


You don't need to tread lightly (on my account)
But it seems like fact (not opinion) that trading Barkley would have been a much bigger deal. No?
...  
christian : 7/17/2024 1:46 pm : link
I think if Schoen handled the optics the same way he did Williams, he would have looked very smart.

"We appreciate everything Saquon has done on and off the field as a Giant. We wanted to give him the opportunity to go to an organization in Baltimore we have a lot of respect for. Obviously Baltimore is in a little different position than us in terms of the standings, and we felt this was the right move to help get us to a place where they are very soon."
RE: ...  
gersh : 7/17/2024 2:14 pm : link
In comment 16554890 christian said:
Quote:
I think if Schoen handled the optics the same way he did Williams, he would have looked very smart.

"We appreciate everything Saquon has done on and off the field as a Giant. We wanted to give him the opportunity to go to an organization in Baltimore we have a lot of respect for. Obviously Baltimore is in a little different position than us in terms of the standings, and we felt this was the right move to help get us to a place where they are very soon."


Good statement
You should be in the PR Dept
Team trading for a possible rental RB  
Rick in Dallas : 7/17/2024 2:17 pm : link
Probably a 4 or 5.
RE: RE: The guy was back only couple weeks from yet another injury  
UberAlias : 7/17/2024 2:38 pm : link
In comment 16554884 bw in dc said:
Quote:
In comment 16554859 UberAlias said:


Quote:


And all the world knew he was going to hit FA in couple months and could be had without giving any picks.

We're talking a 5th rounder.



There is something to that...to a degree.

However, playoff bound teams could have seen Barkley as a good short term rental and another weapon for their offense.

Baltimore, Buffalo, Saints, Colts come to mind...

Correct. It's possible, yes. We just don't know that that's the case. Remember, high profile FAs hit the market every year, many of them, similarly, from teams who know they aren't winning a SB that season. Yet there aren't very many of these types of trades. Not zero, but not a lot. This leads me to believe that teams aren't as willing to trade away high round picks than many people seem to believe.
RE: Team trading for a possible rental RB  
DefenseWins : 7/17/2024 2:49 pm : link
In comment 16554914 Rick in Dallas said:
Quote:
Probably a 4 or 5.


At best..

Then Barkley would have to learn their offense. I dont think there was any interest especially when you layer the injury situation with Barkley.

People are freaking out over nothing here. Same people who wanted Barkley gone I assume.
 
christian : 7/17/2024 3:05 pm : link
I don't think anyone is of the opinion Barkley was going to net a 1st or 2nd round pick. But a handful of 2nd and 3rd round picks were swapped by contenders and shoppers at the deadline. Rasul Douglas, Leonard Williams,
Chase Young, and Montez Sweat, we're all apart of traded that included 2s or 3s (or so re: Douglas).

A player having to learn plays on a new team is not a serious argument against a trade prospect. There were 9 games + the playoffs left.
RE: RE: Team trading for a possible rental RB  
TyreeHelmet : 7/17/2024 3:10 pm : link
In comment 16554945 DefenseWins said:
Quote:
In comment 16554914 Rick in Dallas said:


Quote:


Probably a 4 or 5.



At best..

Then Barkley would have to learn their offense. I dont think there was any interest especially when you layer the injury situation with Barkley.

People are freaking out over nothing here. Same people who wanted Barkley gone I assume.


Come on you can't be serious with this. He could have gotten a late 2nd or 3rd.
A 3rd or 4th  
M.S. : 7/17/2024 3:10 pm : link
Rounder.
RE: …  
uther99 : 7/17/2024 3:15 pm : link
In comment 16554955 christian said:
Quote:
I don't think anyone is of the opinion Barkley was going to net a 1st or 2nd round pick. But a handful of 2nd and 3rd round picks were swapped by contenders and shoppers at the deadline. Rasul Douglas, Leonard Williams,
Chase Young, and Montez Sweat, we're all apart of traded that included 2s or 3s (or so re: Douglas).

A player having to learn plays on a new team is not a serious argument against a trade prospect. There were 9 games + the playoffs left.


Given Barkley injuries in 2023 and the devaluation of RB position, I'd say 4th at best
 
christian : 7/17/2024 3:23 pm : link
All differences in scenarios aside, I think the demand for Barkley exceeded conventional estimates. The Eagles, who know him well and have manufactured backs like widgets, gave him a strong commitment. That fact alone supports the idea there was a market for him.
.  
Go Terps : 7/17/2024 3:34 pm : link
We would have been spared the fiction that Barkley was a top-shelf influential player. That alone would have been worth trading him years ago.

To see John Mara hem and haw about trading a "popular" player... watching Hard Knocks is like watching an organizational autopsy. "Ah, so that's why they've been one of the worst teams of the past decade..."
What Else?  
MontyPi : 7/17/2024 3:49 pm : link
A medium Pepsi.
FUCKED is what we could have gotten  
90.Cal : 7/17/2024 4:37 pm : link
Tag kills our leverage… it’s guaranteed $$$… what if every offer comes with a caveat of “we’ll send you a pick but you have to pay some of his salary”…

You gonna spend $4M-$5M of cap to get an extra 4th round pick… woulda have been horrible

My only gripe is… with the cap space we have currently PLUS whatever we paid Singletary, couldn’t we have signed Saquon? Schoen seemed done with Saquon tbh
If I were  
Svengali : 7/17/2024 5:53 pm : link
A GM of any other team there’s no way I would trade for him because I would know the Giants weren’t in a position to keep him with all the other holes. Plus…. He’s a running back which I would never give big money to unless it was a short term deal and I expected to go to the Super Bowl. I would wish him well but he plays for the eagles so……
RE: RE: RE: Team trading for a possible rental RB  
DefenseWins : 7/17/2024 7:18 pm : link
In comment 16554958 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
In comment 16554945 DefenseWins said:


Quote:


In comment 16554914 Rick in Dallas said:


Quote:


Probably a 4 or 5.



At best..

Then Barkley would have to learn their offense. I dont think there was any interest especially when you layer the injury situation with Barkley.

People are freaking out over nothing here. Same people who wanted Barkley gone I assume.



Come on you can't be serious with this. He could have gotten a late 2nd or 3rd.


A second or third for a guy whose contract is about to expire and wants to be overpaid?

Dude...put the crack pipe down please.
It doesn’t matter. Something/anything that might have turned into  
ThomasG : 7/17/2024 9:07 pm : link
future value would have been enough. Even if it didn’t.

Drafting him was an easy decision for a simplistic-thinking flawed franchise. Keeping him, franchising him and not trading him was inexcusable.
Ownership and fans lamenting over him is pitiful.
A late fourth  
OlyWABigBlue : 7/17/2024 9:59 pm : link
just my opinion of the marketplace vis a vis current need versus what could be gained from a comp pick. There is some value to a 4th in a current draft versus a 4th in a later draft.
Regardless of compensation...  
Brown_Hornet : 7/18/2024 6:53 am : link
...the reason that he wasn't traded is likely Mara.
I can see him telling JS that while he won't force the GM to sign SB after the season, he doesn't want to trade him in-season.

I'd bet in a trade, NY gets a 3rd.
RE: RE: We have absolutely no idea  
Milton : 7/18/2024 7:03 am : link
In comment 16554778 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 16554766 Milton said:


Quote:


And anybody claiming otherwise is just guessing blindly.


It's almost as if you think there have never been player-for-pick trades at the deadline that we could use as comps.
Yes but in Barkley's case, given the injuries, the position he plays, his contract status, it's incredibly difficult to gauge his value. You point out there have been previous player-for-pick trades, but when has there been one for a RB? Playoff bound teams will look at their roster and say, "we need another CB, we need another WR, we need another OL, another DL," but teams don't normally say, "what this team needs is another RB."
RE: I  
Milton : 7/18/2024 7:08 am : link
In comment 16554810 AcidTest said:
Quote:
think a playoff team might have given up a third for him. He was very cheap at the trade deadline and most third round picks don't work out.
Would you have given up a 3rd round pick for him? I know I wouldn't have.

A player's trade value can be such a hard thing to gauge from the outside looking in. Who would've thought the Giants would get a 2nd round pick for Leonard Williams or that Justin Fields would net only a 6th round pick in return. I'm repeatedly flabbergasted by trade compensation and I don't think I'm alone.
He's halfway through his career and injury prone  
200711 : 7/18/2024 8:06 am : link
He's well on his way to being done.

I don't really care about the Barkley shit.

He had two good years out of six and has competition on the Philly roster.

He'll be lucky to make it to 10,000 career yards IMO.
RE: RE: RE: We have absolutely no idea  
gersh : 7/18/2024 9:33 am : link
In comment 16555190 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 16554778 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 16554766 Milton said:


Quote:


And anybody claiming otherwise is just guessing blindly.


It's almost as if you think there have never been player-for-pick trades at the deadline that we could use as comps.

Yes but in Barkley's case, given the injuries, the position he plays, his contract status, it's incredibly difficult to gauge his value. You point out there have been previous player-for-pick trades, but when has there been one for a RB? Playoff bound teams will look at their roster and say, "we need another CB, we need another WR, we need another OL, another DL," but teams don't normally say, "what this team needs is another RB."


Christian McCaffrey

The Carolina Panthers traded Christian McCaffrey to the San Francisco 49ers a 2023 second, third, and fourth-round picks and 2024 fifth round pick.

Just answering the question. I'm NOT saying they are comparable players
RE: RE: RE: RE: We have absolutely no idea  
DefenseWins : 7/18/2024 9:40 am : link
In comment 16555225 gersh said:
Quote:
In comment 16555190 Milton said:


Quote:


In comment 16554778 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 16554766 Milton said:


Quote:


And anybody claiming otherwise is just guessing blindly.


It's almost as if you think there have never been player-for-pick trades at the deadline that we could use as comps.

Yes but in Barkley's case, given the injuries, the position he plays, his contract status, it's incredibly difficult to gauge his value. You point out there have been previous player-for-pick trades, but when has there been one for a RB? Playoff bound teams will look at their roster and say, "we need another CB, we need another WR, we need another OL, another DL," but teams don't normally say, "what this team needs is another RB."



Christian McCaffrey

The Carolina Panthers traded Christian McCaffrey to the San Francisco 49ers a 2023 second, third, and fourth-round picks and 2024 fifth round pick.

Just answering the question. I'm NOT saying they are comparable players


You CANNOT cite what the panthers got for McCaffrey without also detailing how much time was remaining on CMC's contract. Go ahead... because that makes a HUGE difference.
RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: We have absolutely no idea  
gersh : 7/18/2024 9:45 am : link
In comment 16555227 DefenseWins said:
Quote:
In comment 16555225 gersh said:


Quote:


In comment 16555190 Milton said:


Quote:


In comment 16554778 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 16554766 Milton said:


Quote:


And anybody claiming otherwise is just guessing blindly.


It's almost as if you think there have never been player-for-pick trades at the deadline that we could use as comps.

Yes but in Barkley's case, given the injuries, the position he plays, his contract status, it's incredibly difficult to gauge his value. You point out there have been previous player-for-pick trades, but when has there been one for a RB? Playoff bound teams will look at their roster and say, "we need another CB, we need another WR, we need another OL, another DL," but teams don't normally say, "what this team needs is another RB."



Christian McCaffrey

The Carolina Panthers traded Christian McCaffrey to the San Francisco 49ers a 2023 second, third, and fourth-round picks and 2024 fifth round pick.

Just answering the question. I'm NOT saying they are comparable players



You CANNOT cite what the panthers got for McCaffrey without also detailing how much time was remaining on CMC's contract. Go ahead... because that makes a HUGE difference.


Wasn't making an argument, and busy at the moment. Please feel free....
.....  
gersh : 7/18/2024 9:50 am : link
OK, found this
Link - ( New Window )
....  
gersh : 7/18/2024 9:52 am : link
and contract info...
Show me the Money - ( New Window )
RE: RE: I  
TyreeHelmet : 7/18/2024 10:38 am : link
In comment 16555191 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 16554810 AcidTest said:


Quote:


think a playoff team might have given up a third for him. He was very cheap at the trade deadline and most third round picks don't work out.

Would you have given up a 3rd round pick for him? I know I wouldn't have.

A player's trade value can be such a hard thing to gauge from the outside looking in. Who would've thought the Giants would get a 2nd round pick for Leonard Williams or that Justin Fields would net only a 6th round pick in return. I'm repeatedly flabbergasted by trade compensation and I don't think I'm alone.


Great point here. I honestly don't think its crazy a team would have given up a late 2nd around 60th overall for him or a 3rd round pick. It only takes one and lets be honest those picks aren't the most valuable in the world.

But Schoen should have found it...
Barkley at the Deadline  
GiantsFan64 : 7/18/2024 12:49 pm : link
In 2023, Barkley played in the first 2 games, then missed 3 games with an injury, then returned for 3 games before the Deadline.

After 2 games, Barkley had 29 carries for 114 yards and 1 TD with a long of 27. He had 9 catches for 41 yards and 1 TD.

Then he missed 4 weeks (3 games and a BYE).

So far, not much reason to trade anything for him.

That brings us to mid-October and the BUF-WAS-NYJ games. With the Giants riding him hard, Barkley had 81 carries for 298 yards and no TDs. He has 10 catches for 41 yards and 1 TD. The Jets game sees Barkley with 36 carries for 128 yards, no TDs; 3 catches for 0 yards and no TDs.

A team that really needed a starting RB, thought it could go deep in the playoffs if it had one and had a lot of CAP money available might think about trading for Barkley -- but I do not think they would give you a lot of draft capital for him.
Considering Barkley received the 4th highest paid  
HardTruth : 7/18/2024 7:06 pm : link
Salary at his position in FA

I would say we would receive alot more than people think

And as Brian Burns and Leonard Williams, teams are willing to trade draft picks and pay players top dollar
I think my opinion is biased  
Rudy5757 : 7/18/2024 8:30 pm : link
Because I didn’t want the Giants to resign Barkley. Maybe we would have gotten a 4th or a 5th rounder. I do think the Giants would have resigned Barkley for $10mil and Mara probably wanted that outcome so Schoen was in a tough spot.

It is clear that the Giants still thought Barkley was the best back available in FA.

I think they should have traded him but it’s not like they would have gotten a 1st rounder. Can’t compare him to LW. LW was most likely done with the Giants because of age and salary.
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