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If the Giants Traded Barkley - What Could They Have Gotten?

gersh : 7/17/2024 11:29 am
Every thread seems to be bashing Schoen for not trading Barkley at the deadline.

What could they have reasonably gotten in return- knowing Saquon's contract requirements?
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.  
Danny Kanell : 7/17/2024 11:40 am : link
I think they could have gotten a 4th.
Trade  
TyreeHelmet : 7/17/2024 11:40 am : link
Lets assume the Giants wouldn't trade him to Dallas or Philly. That leaves baltimore, buff, texans and maybe the Chiefs as the other likely interested teams.

Best case is probably one of those teams late 2nd which falls between 59-64 overall. 3rd rounder might be more likely but I think a late 2nd would have possible and definitely worth it.

But did he even try? Thats the fair criticism and something we probably don't know the real answer to.
We have absolutely no idea  
Milton : 7/17/2024 11:44 am : link
And anybody claiming otherwise is just guessing blindly.
RE: Trade  
Milton : 7/17/2024 11:46 am : link
In comment 16554761 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:

But did he even try? That's the fair criticism and something we probably don't know the real answer to.
But if we don't know the answer, how can it be a fair criticism?
Drake.Maye/Jaden Daniels  
Blue The Dog : 7/17/2024 11:49 am : link
Whatever draft compensation they could have gotten (my guess is a 3rd), is peanuts compared to the benefits of another few losses in the back half of the season
Mahomes  
pjcas18 : 7/17/2024 11:50 am : link
and it would be a three way trade and Pitt kicks in TJ Watt.

KC gets Barkley and Pitt gets the pick the Giants are still owed from NO in the Shockey trade.

Who says no?

RE: We have absolutely no idea  
Gatorade Dunk : 7/17/2024 11:52 am : link
In comment 16554766 Milton said:
Quote:
And anybody claiming otherwise is just guessing blindly.

It's almost as if you think there have never been player-for-pick trades at the deadline that we could use as comps.
RE: RE: Trade  
TyreeHelmet : 7/17/2024 11:54 am : link
In comment 16554770 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 16554761 TyreeHelmet said:


Quote:



But did he even try? That's the fair criticism and something we probably don't know the real answer to.

But if we don't know the answer, how can it be a fair criticism?


He's stated he didn't try to trade him and I would tend to believe that. But he 100% should have gauged his value and in my opinion traded him.

I don't think Schoen had any intention whatsover in resigning him.
Barkley’s national reputation  
Chris684 : 7/17/2024 11:55 am : link
And rep around the league makes me think we could have gotten more than a 4th.

But it would have involved a RB, in season, with no contract. I’ll say a 3rd.
not much - a 5th rounder  
uther99 : 7/17/2024 11:55 am : link
Barkley was injured week 2-6 and playing on the expensive tag. Who is going to trade for that?

 
christian : 7/17/2024 11:58 am : link
Based on their offseason activity, I think it's very reasonable to guess the Ravens would have traded their 2023 3rd round pick for Barkley at the deadline. Especially if the Giants picked up all but the prorated minimum salary.
And the compensation isn't the only factor  
gersh : 7/17/2024 11:59 am : link
1- Trading him would truly be like giving up on the season. That would is not a great message to the players
2- Barkley would need it to be the right team and at the right money - further limiting his trade value
 
christian : 7/17/2024 12:01 pm : link
Was trading the far better player in Leonard Williams a bad message?
RE: …  
gersh : 7/17/2024 12:02 pm : link
In comment 16554784 christian said:
Quote:
Based on their offseason activity, I think it's very reasonable to guess the Ravens would have traded their 2023 3rd round pick for Barkley at the deadline. Especially if the Giants picked up all but the prorated minimum salary.


Huh?
The gave up nothing for Henry and are paying him $8mil/year
Not sure how that tracks?
RE: …  
gersh : 7/17/2024 12:03 pm : link
In comment 16554787 christian said:
Quote:
Was trading the far better player in Leonard Williams a bad message?


Leo was the second best DT on the team
It was expected he'd leave
Barkley was the face of the franchise
MUCH different
 
christian : 7/17/2024 12:07 pm : link
The Ravens determined they needed a veteran running back on a short term deal.

If the Giants traded Barkley to Baltimore at the deadline last year - Baltimore gets 9 games of 2023 Barkley for less than 1M, and 2024 Barkley at a 12M option.

That tracks.
..  
gogiants : 7/17/2024 12:09 pm : link
a bag of donuts, a hot pretzel and a hot dog.
RE: …  
gersh : 7/17/2024 12:12 pm : link
In comment 16554799 christian said:
Quote:
The Ravens determined they needed a veteran running back on a short term deal.

If the Giants traded Barkley to Baltimore at the deadline last year - Baltimore gets 9 games of 2023 Barkley for less than 1M, and 2024 Barkley at a 12M option.

That tracks.


OK, let's say the Ravens trade their 3rd rounder (I agree that is possible) but...

Then they Ravens become a much improved contender with all that hype as the season progresses - and the Giants get a 3rd rounder....
The PR would be brutal.
I would have taken anything...  
bw in dc : 7/17/2024 12:12 pm : link
because it seemed like there was a high probability that Team Barkley was leaving. My guess is a day three pick would have been the best outcome since Barkley was heading to free agency and there was no guarantee of re-signing him.
If they traded Barkley  
SJGiant : 7/17/2024 12:14 pm : link
They would LOSE the fourth round compensation pick they will receive for X McKinney in 2025.
Look at the stats before the trade deadline 10/31  
56n11bestever : 7/17/2024 12:15 pm : link
1 game over 100 yards in a game where we did not throw the ball because Tommy was in and SB slid before the first down marker which would have won the game.

3 td 1 rushing 2 receiving and a fumble.

He was not lighting it up so what would you give for that performance? Plus he was injured during this time
Link - ( New Window )
Giants are netting a fourth round comp pick  
shyster : 7/17/2024 12:15 pm : link
from Barkley's free agency departure.

Given that, given the uncertainty of trade return for a player who missed most of the first half of the season with an injury that could recur, and given multiple real world reasons a deadline trade was never going to happen, from NYG's perspective, I don't see it as an issue that ranks very high, in the scheme of things.
I  
AcidTest : 7/17/2024 12:16 pm : link
think a playoff team might have given up a third for him. He was very cheap at the trade deadline and most third round picks don't work out.
 
christian : 7/17/2024 12:17 pm : link
The 2-5 Giants traded Leonard Williams for a 2nd round pick from Seattle and everyone thought that was very smart and classy.

If the 2-5 Giants traded Barkley to the Ravens for a 3rd round pick, my guess is everyone would have thought the same.

At a minimum the PR wouldn't be as bad as getting skull fucked in the media on Hard Knocks and Barkley going to Philly.
The fact Schoen said he didn’t know if anyone would trade for SB  
Shecky : 7/17/2024 12:17 pm : link
If they tagged him (in Hard Knocks). Leads me to believe the trade interest before he made that comment was not that great.

I doubt he randomly mentioned that for no reason.
RE: I  
uther99 : 7/17/2024 12:18 pm : link
In comment 16554810 AcidTest said:
Quote:
think a playoff team might have given up a third for him. He was very cheap at the trade deadline and most third round picks don't work out.


He was playing on the tag. Not really "cheap" for the acquiring team
 
christian : 7/17/2024 12:19 pm : link
The Giants would have paid his salary, like they did with Williams. Cap-wise he would have been ultra cheap.
RE: …  
uther99 : 7/17/2024 12:22 pm : link
In comment 16554817 christian said:
Quote:
The Giants would have paid his salary, like they did with Williams. Cap-wise he would have been ultra cheap.


I suppose that is possible, the Giants subsidize the trade, and basically paying the remaining salary to buy a draft pick. I still think a 3rd is high
 
christian : 7/17/2024 12:23 pm : link
And granted the comp projections are both mysteriously and fluid, but OTC projects the Giants will earn a 4th round comp pick as a result of McKinney, and Barkley is nullified because of Runyan.
...  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:26 pm : link
In comment 16554820 uther99 said:
Quote:
The Giants would have paid his salary, like they did with Williams. Cap-wise he would have been ultra cheap.

I suppose that is possible, the Giants subsidize the trade, and basically paying the remaining salary to buy a draft pick. I still think a 3rd is high


Sure, I'm guessing 3rd but maybe a 4th.

My broader point is the receiving team would get a near-free 9 game trial, and the option to buy another year at 12M.
RE: …  
shyster : 7/17/2024 12:30 pm : link
In comment 16554822 christian said:
Quote:
And granted the comp projections are both mysteriously and fluid, but OTC projects the Giants will earn a 4th round comp pick as a result of McKinney, and Barkley is nullified because of Runyan.


If Barkley were not on the ledger, McKinney would have been nullified, and Giants get nothing. Doesn't matter that McKinney's projected pick is higher. You can see that if you look at all the ledgers, for comparison.

Real world, the trade was never going to happen because nobody was ready to go 1-15 or 2-14. They didn't know Jones was going to tear his ACL. The notion of Mara's paying Barkley's salary to play for someone else is real world preposterous.

Why spin fantasies.
RE: ...  
uther99 : 7/17/2024 12:32 pm : link
In comment 16554826 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16554820 uther99 said:


Quote:


The Giants would have paid his salary, like they did with Williams. Cap-wise he would have been ultra cheap.

I suppose that is possible, the Giants subsidize the trade, and basically paying the remaining salary to buy a draft pick. I still think a 3rd is high



Sure, I'm guessing 3rd but maybe a 4th.

My broader point is the receiving team would get a near-free 9 game trial, and the option to buy another year at 12M.


I still think its unlikely, but possible. I mean, Gettlemen did it with Williams
 
christian : 7/17/2024 12:34 pm : link
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.
RE: …  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:35 pm : link
In comment 16554834 christian said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.


For our friend Shyster, for the avoidance of any doubt.
RE: …  
uther99 : 7/17/2024 12:36 pm : link
In comment 16554834 christian said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.


I don't get the bashing Schoen over this, but your point is taken.
RE: And the compensation isn't the only factor  
TyreeHelmet : 7/17/2024 12:37 pm : link
In comment 16554785 gersh said:
Quote:
1- Trading him would truly be like giving up on the season. That would is not a great message to the players
2- Barkley would need it to be the right team and at the right money - further limiting his trade value


They traded Leonard Williams...
I think JS was keeping his options open for this year  
56goat : 7/17/2024 12:38 pm : link
by not trading SB at the deadline and I don't think Mara would have reacted well if JS proposed a deadline deal last year. Personally I think every year the Giants should explore options to buy or sell depending on the market and return. Like the Burns deal this offseason, you never know what is possible unless you have talk to other teams.
RE: …  
shyster : 7/17/2024 12:38 pm : link
In comment 16554834 christian said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.


At the very least, I've prevented you from spreading misinformation about how comp picks work.
...  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:44 pm : link
I 100% get the benefit of hindsight in assessing plausibility and reception.

Do I think the Giants would have traded Barkley and paid his salary? No, their actions tell us otherwise. I don't possess the level of divination to reveal why, but what actually happened is good enough for me.

The question is simply, what could they have received? And maybe folded into that, would that have been a better outcome for the Giants?

If Barkley leaving as an UFA is part of the alchemy that spits out a 4th round 2025 compensatory pick, that's fair. I think we can all agree a 3rd round 2024 common pick is a better outcome.

If trading Barkley also would have kept him out of the division, I think that's a silver lining as well. Kill Schoen? I'm not in a mood for that. But in hindsight I wish better things had happened for the Giants.
RE: RE: …  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:50 pm : link
In comment 16554843 shyster said:
Quote:
Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.

At the very least, I've prevented you from spreading misinformation about how comp picks work.


You are a modern day defender of the vale.

Quote:
And granted the comp projections are both mysteriously and fluid, but OTC projects the Giants will earn a 4th round comp pick as a result of McKinney, and Barkley is nullified because of Runyan.


RE: ...  
gersh : 7/17/2024 12:51 pm : link
In comment 16554845 christian said:
Quote:
I 100% get the benefit of hindsight in assessing plausibility and reception.

Do I think the Giants would have traded Barkley and paid his salary? No, their actions tell us otherwise. I don't possess the level of divination to reveal why, but what actually happened is good enough for me.

The question is simply, what could they have received? And maybe folded into that, would that have been a better outcome for the Giants?

If Barkley leaving as an UFA is part of the alchemy that spits out a 4th round 2025 compensatory pick, that's fair. I think we can all agree a 3rd round 2024 common pick is a better outcome.

If trading Barkley also would have kept him out of the division, I think that's a silver lining as well. Kill Schoen? I'm not in a mood for that. But in hindsight I wish better things had happened for the Giants.


Well defended. We will agree to disagree.
RE: Trade  
4xchamps : 7/17/2024 12:54 pm : link
In comment 16554761 TyreeHelmet said:
Quote:
Lets assume the Giants wouldn't trade him to Dallas or Philly. That leaves baltimore, buff, texans and maybe the Chiefs as the other likely interested teams.

Best case is probably one of those teams late 2nd which falls between 59-64 overall. 3rd rounder might be more likely but I think a late 2nd would have possible and definitely worth it.

But did he even try? Thats the fair criticism and something we probably don't know the real answer to.


How is it a fair criticism if you don't know if he tried or not?
The guy was back only couple weeks from yet another injury  
UberAlias : 7/17/2024 12:56 pm : link
And all the world knew he was going to hit FA in couple months and could be had without giving any picks.

We're talking a 5th rounder.
RE: RE: RE: …  
shyster : 7/17/2024 12:58 pm : link
In comment 16554851 christian said:
Quote:
In comment 16554843 shyster said:


Quote:


Well given we're contemplating a hypothetical, and fantasies offend your sensibilities, this probably isn't the thread for you.

At the very least, I've prevented you from spreading misinformation about how comp picks work.



You are a modern day defender of the vale.



Quote:


And granted the comp projections are both mysteriously and fluid, but OTC projects the Giants will earn a 4th round comp pick as a result of McKinney, and Barkley is nullified because of Runyan.





If Barkley were not on the ledger, McKinney would drop down in his place and be cancelled out, because there would then be just as many NYG FAs going as coming.

You can see this if you look at the Jets ledger for comparison. Bryce Huff is projected as a 4, but he is still cancelled out by a 6.

As for the premise of this thread, it was about the bashing of Schoen for not getting what he could have gotten. If he could never have gotten Mara to pay SB's salary to pay for someone else, then it's pertinent to point that out.
...  
christian : 7/17/2024 12:58 pm : link
Gersh, I don't know we even disagree. For factors that require a level of guessing I'm certainly not equipped to make, the Giants didn't do it.

In a vacuum could they have received a 3rd or possibly 4th round common pick? I think that comfortably sits in the realm of possibilities.
RE: .  
mfjmfj : 7/17/2024 12:59 pm : link
In comment 16554760 Danny Kanell said:
Quote:
I think they could have gotten a 4th.
I agree. And so if the comp picks go as expected they get a 3rd in 2025 rather than a 4th in 2024. Same thing. And you can spin the story to players that you are loyal as a franchise.
RE: ...  
gersh : 7/17/2024 1:03 pm : link
In comment 16554864 christian said:
Quote:
Gersh, I don't know we even disagree. For factors that require a level of guessing I'm certainly not equipped to make, the Giants didn't do it.

In a vacuum could they have received a 3rd or possibly 4th round common pick? I think that comfortably sits in the realm of possibilities.


I agree. and that does answer the question I posed.
Where I think we disagree is the fallout from such a trade.
I believe it would have been significantly negative.

That said, a big part of me wishes we lost a few more games last season. If DJ went down before the trade deadline, I'm not sure how that would have effected the decision to no trade Barkley.

This same team with Caleb, Daniels or Maye (even without Nabers, would make me much more hopeful).
Is it fair to say that if Barkley had agreed to a $10 million contract  
Marty in Albany : 7/17/2024 1:14 pm : link
the Giants would gladly have paid it?

Under that set of facts Barkley is worth 10 million. A player worth 10 million would certainly have trade value.

The Giants got some 'splaining to do.
RE: Is it fair to say that if Barkley had agreed to a $10 million contract  
gersh : 7/17/2024 1:19 pm : link
In comment 16554873 Marty in Albany said:
Quote:
the Giants would gladly have paid it?

Under that set of facts Barkley is worth 10 million. A player worth 10 million would certainly have trade value.

The Giants got some 'splaining to do.


But the question is not - what's his value? (as a UFA)
It is what is his trade value knowing he demanded (and received) significantly more than $10 mil/year
The answer seems to be a 3rd or 4th rounder
 
christian : 7/17/2024 1:30 pm : link
I'll tread lightly on why Barkley was a sacred cow, but Leonard Williams, a better and more valuable player was not. It doesn't pass the intellectual threshold, the emotional criteria is best debated by more clairvoyant BBIers.

What I wish had happened is the Giants traded Barkley out of the division for an outcome better than the contribution to a 4th round 2025 compensatory pick.

I think a 3rd round common pick in the low 90s would have been fair.

And I think the delta in value between a low 90s pick in 2024 and presumed pick in the 130s in 2025, would have been worth it.
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