for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Archived Thread

NFT: ⚾Mets @ Marlins Series: Games 1-3 ⚾Gm 1 - 7:10 pm EDT start⚾

Optimus-NY : 7/19/2024 4:13 pm
Here we go again with another series thread. The Mets (49-46) are playing a Marlins team (33-63) that has the worst record in the National League & the second-worst record in MLB; only the White Sox (27-71) have a worse record. The Mets have gone 3-3 against the Marlins so far this season & will not play them again this season after this series. They need to take advantage of the weaker teams left on their schedule over the course of their remaining 67 regular season games such as this Marlins club they’re playing in this four-game set in Miami. Click HERE to read a series preview. Enjoy 😊!
___________________________________________________________

Mets @. Marlins: Game 1 –⚾Manaea (L) vs. Cabrera (R)⚾– 7:10 pm EDT


Starting Lineups for both clubs tonight.
.
.
.

Probable Starting Pitcher Matchups for tonight & tomorrow in Miami against the Fish.
.
.
.
#LFGM!
.
.
.
Notes:
-Tonight’s game will be televised on SNY, but tomorrow’s game will be on WPIX.
-The weather for tonight's game won’t be an issue since LoanDepot Park has a retractable roof. They have it closed most of the time (70 of 81 home games). The heat will be just too much for it to be open now (click HERE to see), so thankfully it won’t be a factor in this game or series. They usually retract their roof in early season games in April.
-The Mets have a record of 9-5 so far in July & are 7-3 in their last 10 games. As of the start of play today, they sit in sole possession of the final Wildcard spot, a game ahead of both the defending National League champion Diamondbacks & Padres. Click HERE to see the Wildcard standings for both the NL & the AL. The Mets have gone 27-13 in their last 40 games dating back to May 30th.

-Click HERE to see the list of Mets transactions for July.
-Click HERE to see the Mets' 26-man active roster.
-The Mets' 4-man bench for tonight’s game will consist of Torrens (R), Taylor (R), Stewart (L), & Gamel (L).
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 <<Prev | Show All |
Don't Lindor's season long numbers include April too?  
Metnut : 7/23/2024 9:22 am : link
Don't understand the point knocking him about April when his full-season numbers incorporate those games also.
In Alonso’s  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 9:25 am : link
Case, his pressing isn’t exactly shocking. Turned down 158 million, reportedly looking for as much as 300 at some point, his struggles are likely costing him millions. He’s done the reverse Aaron Judge
RE: RE: RE: Alvarez  
GF1080 : 7/23/2024 9:34 am : link
In comment 16557442 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 16557435 GF1080 said:


Quote:


In comment 16557430 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


Has an 87 wRC+ in July with 0 HR’s and a 32% k% and you almost wouldn’t even know it from fans. Love Alvy but that’s a major benefit of having a player like Lindor on and off the field



We were starting to touch on this last night. Needs to get going again. Alonso at a 75 wRC+ in July. He at least had a big June.



Love Alvarez, not looking to dump on him but it’s been largely gone unnoticed how poorly he’s been hitting in July, JDM as well. Alvarez looks like he’s standing even further from the plate than usual for some reason


I get it. I was basically saying the same thing last night. Didn't notice him standing further away, interesting.
RE: RE: RE: RE: heck of a catch by bader  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 10:17 am : link
In comment 16557369 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
In comment 16557309 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


In comment 16557302 GF1080 said:


Quote:


In comment 16557299 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


another guy id probably QO and not take for granted being so easily replaced by a young guy (be it acuna or gilbert).



That's a way more interesting decision. He's having his best year in a long time and he does have a lengthy injury history I believe which he's avoided so far this year. What's the QO amount for this year? Do you really think he'd get more than the QO on the open market?



not sure but i assume the QO is around 1 year 18-20m.

he would not get that AAV on the open market but i could see someone offering a 2x25m or 3x36m or something like that, would he take it to have some extra security?

i doubt anyone offers that with the QO attached though, so i think he'd probably accept the QO.



To date, the QO # has never gone down.
20.32 last season, 19.65 the season prior, 18.4 before that. Safe to assume it’s probably closer to 21 than 18


thank you i had 18 in my head from last year for some reason but probably thinking back to a prior year with conforto or bassitt.
RE: Bader  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 10:19 am : link
In comment 16557386 GF1080 said:
Quote:
Yeah I'm not paying Bader that for 1 season. Huge pass on offering him the QO.


in his case if you do it you are overpaying for 1 year of flexibility. id agree with you that based on what we've seen from stearns and the market over the last year, i doubt they do that. i might because i like the flexibility of 1 year prove it deals and i do think someone could offer him something like 3x40m in FA which i wouldnt feel so comfortable with bc of his injury history.
there's no way to multi quote but 100% agree w/ DMM on  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 10:23 am : link
lindor, alvy, jdm, alonso. can probably add vientos to the list also. he's hitting .300 in july but only 2 homers and k-rate up at 29%.

just like alvarez he's still a young player so these things are going to happen.

i completely agree with alonso pulling the anti-judge and i would 100% bet that at some point every single day he thinks about the $158m he passed on wishing he could get a do-over. who wouldnt in that situation? anyone who says they wouldnt is a liar.
Sorry about not posting the lineups yesterday.  
Optimus-NY : 7/23/2024 12:38 pm : link
Things were hectic and I forgot to ask someone to do it for me. I'll start today's second Subway Series thread for us once the lineups are out today for both clubs in a few more hours later on this afternoon.
RE: In Alonso’s  
Optimus-NY : 7/23/2024 12:44 pm : link
In comment 16557448 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Case, his pressing isn’t exactly shocking. Turned down 158 million, reportedly looking for as much as 300 at some point, his struggles are likely costing him millions. He’s done the reverse Aaron Judge


Good. Pete is arrogant and stupid. Nobody is paying in FA. Let him crawl back to the Mets with his tail between his legs and take less.
Mets sign JBJ  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 2:06 pm : link
JBJ to @mets has been rumored/suggested for years now. David Stearns had JBJ with him in Milwaukee in 2021. Bradley his .163/.236/.261 over a full season with the Brewers #Mets
..  
Named Later : 7/23/2024 2:34 pm : link
Mets sign Jon Bon Jovi ?? Things are getting disparate !

I kid, I kid.

Maybe Pete should get out of the Clean-Up spot for a while.
Trouble is.....there's really nobody hot enough right now.

Maybe Mendoza was on to something when he batted McNeil in the Clean-Up spot the first few games of the season.
RE: Mets sign JBJ  
KDavies : 7/23/2024 2:47 pm : link
In comment 16557665 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
JBJ to @mets has been rumored/suggested for years now. David Stearns had JBJ with him in Milwaukee in 2021. Bradley his .163/.236/.261 over a full season with the Brewers #Mets


He hits like Stewart. Does he at least have some glove left is the question.
..  
Named Later : 7/23/2024 3:13 pm : link
Did I read correctly that the Braves signed Whit Merrifield to replace the injured Ozzie Albies.

And Whit promptly injured a finger in pre-game warmups....Ouch.
The Braves  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 3:18 pm : link
then called up Alvarez Jr. who could be a sneaky/solid player for them. He's hit at a high level since they drafted him.
Terrible  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 4:16 pm : link
Square profile picture
New York Mets
@Mets
RHP Christian Scott has been placed on the 15-day IL, retroactive to July 22, with a right UCL sprain.

LHP Alex Young has been recalled from Triple-A Syracuse.
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 4:18 pm : link
Tim Healey
@timbhealey
News: The Mets put Christian Scott on the IL with a UCL sprain.

No word yet on the severity of the sprain or if he will need surgery.

Lefthander Alex Young is called up from Syracuse.
RE: Terrible  
Metnut : 7/23/2024 4:18 pm : link
In comment 16557753 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Square profile picture
New York Mets
@Mets
RHP Christian Scott has been placed on the 15-day IL, retroactive to July 22, with a right UCL sprain.

LHP Alex Young has been recalled from Triple-A Syracuse.


Does this likely mean Tommy John?
RE: RE: Terrible  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 4:21 pm : link
In comment 16557758 Metnut said:
Quote:
In comment 16557753 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


Square profile picture
New York Mets
@Mets
RHP Christian Scott has been placed on the 15-day IL, retroactive to July 22, with a right UCL sprain.

LHP Alex Young has been recalled from Triple-A Syracuse.



Does this likely mean Tommy John?


It's one possibility depending on the severity of the tear, yes. *If* he needed TJ, he'd likely miss all of 2025.
RE: .  
GF1080 : 7/23/2024 4:57 pm : link
In comment 16557757 DanMetroMan said:
Quote:
Tim Healey
@timbhealey
News: The Mets put Christian Scott on the IL with a UCL sprain.

No word yet on the severity of the sprain or if he will need surgery.

Lefthander Alex Young is called up from Syracuse.


Oh man. Can't have nice things.
.  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 5:19 pm : link
SNY
@SNYtv
Carlos Mendoza says that Christian Scott complained of discomfort in his elbow after his start in Miami.

Mendoza says the Mets are still waiting for clarity on whether Scott has a sprain or a tear.
Passan  
DanMetroMan : 7/23/2024 5:28 pm : link
says there is trade interest in Detmers (league interest, not necessarily the Mets)

'd be interested in Detmers. HR's have killed him in the PCL but 11.84 k/9, 2.84 BB/9, 3.98 xFIP, .351 BABIP. I have no clue what the cost would be but he'd be an intriguing target (3 years of control left)
RE: RE: Mets sign JBJ  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 5:46 pm : link
In comment 16557687 KDavies said:
Quote:
In comment 16557665 DanMetroMan said:


Quote:


JBJ to @mets has been rumored/suggested for years now. David Stearns had JBJ with him in Milwaukee in 2021. Bradley his .163/.236/.261 over a full season with the Brewers #Mets



He hits like Stewart. Does he at least have some glove left is the question.


What is it with these guys always wanting to sign under performing nobody’s that used to be in their former organization.
RE: Don't Lindor's season long numbers include April too?  
pjcas18 : 7/23/2024 7:07 pm : link
In comment 16557443 Metnut said:
Quote:
Don't understand the point knocking him about April when his full-season numbers incorporate those games also.


Because I am less concerned with Lindor's fWAR or any individual numbers than I am with the Mets wins/losses.

IMO Lindor's awful start was a key reason for the Mets woes to start the season. Its obviously a team game and I'm not pinning anything just on him, but he's the Mets best player he should bear more of the blame and he was worse than everyone else. Shit, Aaron Judge was booed in Yankee Stadium. Lindor deserved the criticism.

And if you focus on margin between playoffs vs no playoffs or home game in the playoffs vs away game in the playoff or division vs wild card it often comes down to one game. And so often people focus on the last game of the season or the last week of the season, but never acknowledge if that one more win came in April it wouldn't possibly have come down to the last week or last game of the season.

April wins matter as much as September wins.

So, my response to the zero he was offensively and defensively in April is not shoulder shrug "he's a slow starter" - it's not ok. He needs to be better in April and every April he has like this year he should be criticized.
Link to game  
Ira : 7/23/2024 7:11 pm : link
.
Link - ( New Window )
I think Quintana is gonna get crushed by the Yankees  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 7:17 pm : link
.
if every game counts the same (true) who cares when players slump?  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 7:19 pm : link
over 162 games they are all going to slump at some point.

it was also clear lindor's slump was driven by bad luck over a small sample, which i explained at the time.

his BABIP in march/april was .198. it has been above .270 every month since.

it wasnt a contact quality issue either - his expected stats were also unlucky (still are). his xba is .281, his actual is .255. his xslg is .527, actual slug is .463.
pretty tough july for JDM  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 8:04 pm : link
hitting .212 with a 34% k-rate. just 1 homer and 2 doubles.
RE: pretty tough july for JDM  
pjcas18 : 7/23/2024 8:28 pm : link
In comment 16557910 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
hitting .212 with a 34% k-rate. just 1 homer and 2 doubles.


but his babip is .323, exactly the same as it was in June when he batted 60 points higher and ops'd 244 points higher, so it's not his fault. it's just bad luck.
RE: RE: pretty tough july for JDM  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 8:45 pm : link
In comment 16557923 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 16557910 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


hitting .212 with a 34% k-rate. just 1 homer and 2 doubles.



but his babip is .323, exactly the same as it was in June when he batted 60 points higher and ops'd 244 points higher, so it's not his fault. it's just bad luck.


sounds like you dont know how babip works. it actually means the exact opposite of what you just said. he has hit poorly despite having the exact same luck, which is actually good luck relative to league average. more of his balls in play have fallen in for hits than typically happens league wide - and he has still put up a bad month.
And once again  
Mike in NY : 7/23/2024 8:47 pm : link
Bases loaded no outs only results in 1 run because of a HBP
Is Quintana done after 5?  
BigBlueNH : 7/23/2024 8:50 pm : link
We have mostly bums available in the pen tonight
RE: Is Quintana done after 5?  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 8:51 pm : link
In comment 16557942 BigBlueNH said:
Quote:
We have mostly bums available in the pen tonight


94 pitches but got through the key part of order. could go either way.
odds jeff mcjuiced hung out with robbie cano over the break?  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 8:52 pm : link
if the mlb hasnt scheduled the drug test yet they are asleep at the wheel, not that im complaining.
haha McNeil's revenge  
Rory : 7/23/2024 8:53 pm : link
continues
McNeil is starting to earn his living as a power hitter.  
Ira : 7/23/2024 8:53 pm : link
§
RE: odds jeff mcjuiced hung out with robbie cano over the break?  
GF1080 : 7/23/2024 8:54 pm : link
In comment 16557945 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
if the mlb hasnt scheduled the drug test yet they are asleep at the wheel, not that im complaining.


I don't think it works that quick haha. Made up for his awful base running mistake earlier.
Hopefully,  
Pete in MD : 7/23/2024 8:56 pm : link
McNeil doesn't get drug tested :-)
McNeil is making me eat some crow (which I’m happy to do)  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 8:58 pm : link
BUT…he’s not a power hitter in any stretch of imagination. We’ve seen this movie before and it failed spectacularly. I’m happy to ride this wave but in no way do I expect it to continue. In the meantime…go squirrel?? 🐿️
RE: RE: RE: pretty tough july for JDM  
pjcas18 : 7/23/2024 8:59 pm : link
In comment 16557935 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
In comment 16557923 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


In comment 16557910 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


hitting .212 with a 34% k-rate. just 1 homer and 2 doubles.



but his babip is .323, exactly the same as it was in June when he batted 60 points higher and ops'd 244 points higher, so it's not his fault. it's just bad luck.



sounds like you dont know how babip works. it actually means the exact opposite of what you just said. he has hit poorly despite having the exact same luck, which is actually good luck relative to league average. more of his balls in play have fallen in for hits than typically happens league wide - and he has still put up a bad month.


Sounds like you don't know how it works. Every player is not the same. Different type of hitters and player generally find different babip sustainable.

for his 14 year career, almost 1600 games and almost 6000 at-bats JDM has a .341 babip. ~20 points higher than his 2024 July.

In other news - Ottavino still sucks  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 8:59 pm : link
.
RE: In other news - Ottavino still sucks  
Rory : 7/23/2024 9:04 pm : link
In comment 16557959 CooperDash said:
Quote:
.


lol
Volpe couldn’t have made it any easier to get picked off  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 9:06 pm : link
and Ottavino just stands there like a moron. Which then directly gives up a run. Ottavino being on this team makes me irrationally despise Stearns.
Please, please just DFA Otto already.  
BigBlueNH : 7/23/2024 9:07 pm : link
I can't stand watching him pitch. We used our decent BP arms last night, unfortunately.
Nunez putting the work against the Yankee gauntlet  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 9:35 pm : link
Well done youngster.
**putting in**  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 9:36 pm : link
Stupid fat fingers
RE: RE: RE: RE: pretty tough july for JDM  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 9:42 pm : link
In comment 16557958 pjcas18 said:
Quote:
In comment 16557935 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


In comment 16557923 pjcas18 said:


Quote:


In comment 16557910 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


hitting .212 with a 34% k-rate. just 1 homer and 2 doubles.



but his babip is .323, exactly the same as it was in June when he batted 60 points higher and ops'd 244 points higher, so it's not his fault. it's just bad luck.



sounds like you dont know how babip works. it actually means the exact opposite of what you just said. he has hit poorly despite having the exact same luck, which is actually good luck relative to league average. more of his balls in play have fallen in for hits than typically happens league wide - and he has still put up a bad month.



Sounds like you don't know how it works. Every player is not the same. Different type of hitters and player generally find different babip sustainable.

for his 14 year career, almost 1600 games and almost 6000 at-bats JDM has a .341 babip. ~20 points higher than his 2024 July.


uh still wrong. a 20 point difference in babip is not considered substantial, and certainly isnt if a player is already above the normal range in the "lucky" range. there is always going to be a normal deviation and JDM's july was almost exactly the same as his full season last year as well as his june this year.

a 90 point difference in babip below career average is a much more substantial deviation.

the differences between JDM last year (135 rc), this June (153 rc) and this July (< 90 rc after tonight) at almost the exact same .323 babip isn't luck. he struck out more and hit just 3 xbh instead of 11 in june. it's not complicated. he hit for less power and struck out more.
here's a new savant chart that proves the above point  
Eric on Li : 7/23/2024 9:52 pm : link
imagine that, JDM barreled balls at a 3x+ rate before july and correspondingly hit 3x+ the number of xbh. almost like the 2 things are correlated.

trend is pretty obvious and it should go without needing explanation that how often a batter barrels a baseball has absolutely nothing to do with fielders since the former happens or doesnt before the ball is in play in the first play.

Great job by everyone in the BP  
BigBlueNH : 7/23/2024 10:25 pm : link
not named Ottavino. Redemption for Diekman. Maybe he has a better second half. Brooms out tomorrow.
RE: Great job by everyone in the BP  
Ira : 7/23/2024 10:28 pm : link
In comment 16558122 BigBlueNH said:
Quote:
not named Ottavino. Redemption for Diekman. Maybe he has a better second half. Brooms out tomorrow.
I knew that Diaz wasn't available, but when I saw it was Diekman who had to face Soto and Judge, I thought we were done.
RE: RE: Great job by everyone in the BP  
CooperDash : 7/23/2024 10:55 pm : link
In comment 16558126 Ira said:
Quote:
In comment 16558122 BigBlueNH said:


Quote:


not named Ottavino. Redemption for Diekman. Maybe he has a better second half. Brooms out tomorrow.

I knew that Diaz wasn't available, but when I saw it was Diekman who had to face Soto and Judge, I thought we were done.


We all did
The link for this Subway Series is below.  
Optimus-NY : 7/24/2024 9:00 am : link
Mea Culpa for not linking it in time for the game yesterday. I wasn't feeling well and took a nap, that turned out obe a lot longer than I thought it would be. I had it all ready to copy and paste too from the previous day, but was waiting for the starting lineups to come out before posting it. Then I turned into one of the Sleepers from the Cave of Ephesus, lol.


NFT: ⚾Mets @ Yanks: ****METS FANS ONLY**** Subway Series thread⚾ | Optimus-NY | 7/23/2024 | 9:25 pm - ( New Window )
Pages: 1 2 3 4 5 <<Prev | Show All |
Back to the Corner