for display only
Big Blue Interactive The Corner Forum  
Back to the Corner

Based on recent hisotry, Week 1 will tell us a lot

Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 9:56 am
Long gone are the days of 2007 and 2011, or even 1986, where the Giants lost their first game and went on to great seasons.

Week 1 has had strong predictive power for the last 12 years. Bad offensive lines and meh QB play? Say hello to the 2013, 2017, and 2023 openers. Completely useless defenses? 2014 and 2019 provide your foreshadowing right there.

On the other side of the spectrum, the Giants have won 2 openers since their last Super Bowl. Both times they went on to make the playoffs.

I don't see week 1 against Minnesota being any different. Seriously, what are the odds that this team loses to Sam Darnold at home in a 100th anniversary game and then goes on to have a solid season? I would run to DraftKings and bet on the adjusted under.

Long story short: given the circumstances and recent history, "it's only week 1" isn't likely to hold water with this team.

Pages: 1 2 <<Prev | Show All |
RE: Not sure about Week 1, but agree that September is critical.  
Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 11:30 am : link
In comment 16593854 Big Blue Blogger said:
Quote:
MIN, @WAS, @CLE, DAL

If they don't come out of that sequence 2-2 or better, with at least one division win, the season could go south very quickly. The October slate is @SEA, CIN, PHI, @PIT. 1-3 can become 1-7 before you can say "Pat Shurmur".


lol but yeah, two rough road environments plus two strong teams at home. It's not the worst slate in the world, namely because there's downside potential to all of these teams (and I'm not as bullish on the Eagles as others), but if the Giants resemble their 2023 selfs this is a 1-3 slate at best.

RE: Must win  
Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 11:32 am : link
In comment 16593855 Sean said:
Quote:
Schedule toughens up after week 2. If this season starts 1-5, forget it.


Yeah, there's no recovering from being in the hole. What are they going to do, play Drew Lock? In two weeks, they'll be going to the DeVito well again and will likely find out he was a 3-game wonder.
It can't be worse than last season  
jeffusedtobeonwebtv : 9/3/2024 11:54 am : link
It would be hard to be worse than losing 40-0 to a divisonal foe and having your left tackle, by far your best offensive lineman injured.
This is like the 2014 season for me  
Route 9 : 9/3/2024 12:03 pm : link
I'm going to expect a 6-11 type of season and I'm going to get a 6-11 type of season. Not too excited.

But yes, the above post is correct, can't get any worse than last year losing 40-0 to Dallas. Unless, the Vikings exact revenge and win 41-0 to get back at us for 2000, when all these players were like 2 years old or weren't even born.

As for Sam Darnold getting the best of us week 1, don't underestimate what kind of nonsense this team could pull.
RE: It can't be worse than last season  
Scooter185 : 9/3/2024 12:05 pm : link
In comment 16593877 jeffusedtobeonwebtv said:
Quote:
It would be hard to be worse than losing 40-0 to a divisonal foe and having your left tackle, by far your best offensive lineman injured.


As Eric says it can always be worse.
I expect Darnold to have a  
Mayo2JZ : 9/3/2024 12:06 pm : link
career game against us because that’s what we tend to do against a QB we expect to beat. Just not very optimistic about this team and the way it’s been built and I use the Lions and Texans as examples of what we are NOT doing and that’s building a SB contender.
Things to look for  
Bob in VA : 9/3/2024 12:12 pm : link
Will the OL provide the right amount of time for plays to develop?

Will DJ stop telegraphing his passes?

Will red zone drives result in touchdowns?

Can the offense convert 3rd downs?

Can the defense stop 3rd-and-longs?

If by the end of the game we can confidently say "yes" to these things, then win or lose, the outcome won't be terrible.

RE: There's going to be a learning curve on the young secondary  
sb from NYT Forum : 9/3/2024 12:15 pm : link
In comment 16593797 UberAlias said:
Quote:
That's a given.


Good point, and all the more reason the Giants' offense needs to come out strong. Make the Vikings one-dimensional.
Both teams are kind of in the same position  
Mike from Ohio : 9/3/2024 12:17 pm : link
I think both are thinking this is a must win game as they are getting a QB who is very beatable, and they will not have a lot of easy games on their schedule this year.
I just hope they stop the trend  
mfsd : 9/3/2024 12:18 pm : link
of the Giants waiting until they’re down 17-0 or whatever before they start competing

We could be better in a lot of areas, but we’re not good enough to consistently pull off comebacks
RE: I just hope they stop the trend  
Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 12:34 pm : link
In comment 16593902 mfsd said:
Quote:
of the Giants waiting until they’re down 17-0 or whatever before they start competing

We could be better in a lot of areas, but we’re not good enough to consistently pull off comebacks


It's interesting in retrospect to look at 2022. They were horrible in the 1st half against the Titans and relied on a missed chip shot to ultimately win, then looked actually kind of mediocre against a bad Panthers teams, and they played with good energy against the Cowboys in week 3 but eventually got overwhelmed. It was only against the Bears that the quality of the 2022 team start to emerge.

And that's why they just have to win this game and probably against the Commanders, because those banked early wins matter so much regardless of how you look.
This Vikings team was in playoff contention last December until  
cosmicj : 9/3/2024 12:40 pm : link
they lost 4 games in a row. That was with Cousins at QB, of course. The current Vegas line - around even - points to Darnold being the new QB and of course takes into account that the Giants are at home. With Cousins on a neutral field, I am guessing the spread would be in the 3-4 point range (for Minn). I don’t see this as an easy game.
I’m also really curious whether Jayden Daniels comes out on fire.  
cosmicj : 9/3/2024 12:41 pm : link
If he starts strong, that week 2 game may be really tough.

Any DC area residents want to comment on what the info about Daniels has looked like in preseason and camp?
RE: I’m also really curious whether Jayden Daniels comes out on fire.  
sb from NYT Forum : 9/3/2024 1:26 pm : link
In comment 16593920 cosmicj said:
Quote:
If he starts strong, that week 2 game may be really tough.

Any DC area residents want to comment on what the info about Daniels has looked like in preseason and camp?


You have to know at this point that WFT fans have always been completely deluded. I have no doubt they are already anointing him as the next Mahomes.
I am assuming DC area people posting here  
cosmicj : 9/3/2024 1:36 pm : link
Are Giants fans. I’m interested in objective information because I thought Daniels was the most exciting player in the draft and am very concerned he will be electric in the NFL.
RE: I expect Darnold to have a  
81_Great_Dane : 9/3/2024 1:37 pm : link
In comment 16593888 Mayo2JZ said:
Quote:
career game against us because that’s what we tend to do against a QB we expect to beat.
Serious question: Who's "we" in this sentence? The fans? The coaches? The players? Who expects to beat Darnold and the Vikings?

We fans have a lot of expectations. The players, coming off a crappy season, with a QB coming off an ACL, with a new defensive coordinator, shouldn't "expect to beat" Minnesota. They may be confident, they may have a great game plan, but they have to be hungry and super prepared, take nothing for granted. Plus they're a young team. Personally, I expect growing pains and an up-and-down start of the season. I have no idea what to expect.
.....  
CoughlinHandsonHips : 9/3/2024 1:54 pm : link
Honestly - if they can't win this game (especially with Darnold at the helm) - what games can we expect them to win down the line?
If this is a premium website for Giant fans  
joe48 : 9/3/2024 1:56 pm : link
Where the hell are they. Lack of enthusiasm for a new season is pathetic. Some sound like they have already given up. There are some people who have a great deal of football knowledge and I enjoy it. Let’s root for the new players and coaches.
RE: If this is a premium website for Giant fans  
81_Great_Dane : 9/3/2024 1:58 pm : link
In comment 16594015 joe48 said:
Quote:
Where the hell are they. Lack of enthusiasm for a new season is pathetic. Some sound like they have already given up. There are some people who have a great deal of football knowledge and I enjoy it. Let’s root for the new players and coaches.
It's true that this site has become depressingly negative.
Welp  
Paulie Walnuts : 9/3/2024 2:10 pm : link
I got more time to work on my golf game. I'm a 12 now trying to break 80 again before weather gets cold shot 83 Sunday 81 yesterday..
RE: If this is a premium website for Giant fans  
Route 9 : 9/3/2024 2:44 pm : link
In comment 16594015 joe48 said:
Quote:
Where the hell are they. Lack of enthusiasm for a new season is pathetic. Some sound like they have already given up. There are some people who have a great deal of football knowledge and I enjoy it. Let’s root for the new players and coaches.


Premium site? Lol
It'll be a more competitive affair then most  
Simms11 : 9/3/2024 2:46 pm : link
think IMO. Darnold is an improved QB and has tons of talent around him. Secondary is going to get tested for sure. That said, if DJ loses a huge game, starting the 100th Season of the Franchise, at HOME, then its going to be a very good indication of a bad season to come IMHO.
RE: I just hope they stop the trend  
Route 9 : 9/3/2024 2:51 pm : link
In comment 16593902 mfsd said:
Quote:
of the Giants waiting until they’re down 17-0 or whatever before they start competing

We could be better in a lot of areas, but we’re not good enough to consistently pull off comebacks


Because they're near the bottom of the barrel in points scored in recent years. Watch any YouTube "scoring highlight" Giants video for recent seasons. They don't get their first touchdown until the 3rd quarter or they score early on in the game and then that's it for the whole game and it's the next game (or two games later) in the highlight package.
RE: It'll be a more competitive affair then most  
Route 9 : 9/3/2024 2:58 pm : link
In comment 16594092 Simms11 said:
Quote:
think IMO. Darnold is an improved QB and has tons of talent around him. Secondary is going to get tested for sure. That said, if DJ loses a huge game, starting the 100th Season of the Franchise, at HOME, then its going to be a very good indication of a bad season to come IMHO.


I remember being done with him that week 1 Denver game in 2021 and I haven't been proven wrong really. I had my doubts about Jones and then game proved it. Denver was not a good team but he was just brutally bad in that game. He had one big throw early on and the TD came from a big catch and run from Sterling Shepard.

That dumbass fumble he had solidified it for me. He kind of redeemed himself next week vs Washington but, he's just always going to be that QB. Doesn't score points and has dumbass turnovers as he did in that Denver game and the pick 6 he threw vs Seattle with a wide open guy in the end zone.

Can't have that.
RE: Week 1 is must win  
4xchamps : 9/3/2024 3:01 pm : link
In comment 16593819 UConn4523 said:
Quote:
for that reason - if we can’t beat this Minnesota team than we aren’t going to win many games this year.

Did you start watching football last year? A week one loss, no matter who it is to, is just one loss. It happens all the time and it is no indicator of how this team may or may not play in a month. Week 1 is very fluky!
Just last year  
4xchamps : 9/3/2024 3:04 pm : link
In week one:

The Ravens beat the Texans by 17
The Jets beat the Bills

In week 2
The Colts beat the Texans by 11
Seahawks beat the Lions
And the Falcons beat the Packers
RE: RE: Week 1 is must win  
Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 3:23 pm : link
In comment 16594113 4xchamps said:
Quote:
In comment 16593819 UConn4523 said:


Quote:


for that reason - if we can’t beat this Minnesota team than we aren’t going to win many games this year.


Did you start watching football last year? A week one loss, no matter who it is to, is just one loss. It happens all the time and it is no indicator of how this team may or may not play in a month. Week 1 is very fluky!


The issue is that week 1 has been predictive of the Giants' season in the past decade plus, and it's hard to imagine 2024 being any different. I could be wrong, but if they lose to Minnesota and the offense looks mediocre, the secondary gets burned, etc. (basically 2021 redux), are we really going to bank on them beating Cleveland and Seattle on the road, and Dallas at home? They would be staring 1-4 in the face.
I have this team for 7 wins  
Ten Ton Hammer : 9/3/2024 3:34 pm : link
But MIN needs to be one of them, or else this year will trend negative.

Its not like Daboll hasnt been able to generate surprise wins over better teams (TEN coming to mind) but you have to beat teams on your weight class and MIN is that, if they want to have a shot at the playoffs.
RE: RE: It'll be a more competitive affair then most  
Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 3:37 pm : link
In comment 16594109 Route 9 said:
Quote:

I remember being done with him that week 1 Denver game in 2021 and I haven't been proven wrong really. I had my doubts about Jones and then game proved it. Denver was not a good team but he was just brutally bad in that game. He had one big throw early on and the TD came from a big catch and run from Sterling Shepard.

That dumbass fumble he had solidified it for me. He kind of redeemed himself next week vs Washington but, he's just always going to be that QB. Doesn't score points and has dumbass turnovers as he did in that Denver game and the pick 6 he threw vs Seattle with a wide open guy in the end zone.

Can't have that.


Yeah, critical game for Jones. He's blundered through too many home openers in the past. The goaline interception versus Pittsburgh, the fumble against Denver, his whole performance versus Dallas. Even Carolina in 2022 was one of his weaker games that year, in which he didn't start making plays until the middle of the 3rd quarter.

If he comes out firing in this one, that would go a long way into making me feel optimistic for his prospects this season.
As with most teams, the first couple of weeks are tough  
Matt M. : 9/3/2024 3:41 pm : link
to gauge a team these days. That said, I think we should see what we want out of the pass rush, in particular. If the passing game looks like it can finally get the ball beyond 7-8 yards and the running game (by committee) looks decent (doesn't need to be great), that will be significant.
Lol  
Route 9 : 9/3/2024 3:43 pm : link
Oh shit I forgot all about that Steelers game in 2020
RE: As with most teams, the first couple of weeks are tough  
Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 3:54 pm : link
In comment 16594142 Matt M. said:
Quote:
to gauge a team these days. That said, I think we should see what we want out of the pass rush, in particular. If the passing game looks like it can finally get the ball beyond 7-8 yards and the running game (by committee) looks decent (doesn't need to be great), that will be significant.


If the passing attack looks effective, that would make me a whole lot more bullish on the season, because there's a lot of speed and athleticism in the skill positions to utilize.
If they lose Sunday  
bluesince56 : 9/3/2024 5:22 pm : link
This site will explode!!!
Lambuth Special...  
Milton : 9/3/2024 5:31 pm : link
So you're saying if Jones has an excellent game, saying "it's only week 1" won't hold water.
RE: Lambuth Special...  
Lambuth_Special : 9/3/2024 5:56 pm : link
In comment 16594215 Milton said:
Quote:
So you're saying if Jones has an excellent game, saying "it's only week 1" won't hold water.


I definitely wouldn’t minimize it, since Jones has historically struggled in home openers. However, I wouldn’t pencil the Giants in for the playoffs yet since there are a lot tougher teams on the schedule.
RE: RE: RE: Week 1 is must win  
DonQuixote : 9/4/2024 12:32 am : link
In comment 16594127 Lambuth_Special said:
Quote:
The issue is that week 1 has been predictive of the Giants' season in the past decade plus, and it's hard to imagine 2024 being any different.


Ascertainment bias. The Giants have been terrible, so most games have been losses and indicative of more losses to come. There is nothing of extra significance about Week 1.

Other teams are circling the Giants on their schedule and counting for a win, so I think week to week is a better way to appoach the season.
Ha ... This shit again lol  
Route 9 : 9/4/2024 12:53 am : link
Jones has an excellent game?

Good. It's about time. That's what he's paid to do and hopefully he can carry it into the next game and have himself a good season.

Likely ...

15/28, 187 yards ... 0 TD, 1 INT. 1 rushing TD.
RE: Ha ... This shit again lol  
HBart : 9/4/2024 5:45 am : link
In comment 16594465 Route 9 said:
Quote:
Jones has an excellent game?

Good. It's about time. That's what he's paid to do and hopefully he can carry it into the next game and have himself a good season.

Likely ...

15/28, 187 yards ... 0 TD, 1 INT. 1 rushing TD.


Jones last 2 games against Minnesota:

30/42 71.43% 334 1 TD, 1 INT. 34 rush yards.
24/35 68.57% 301 2 TD, 0 INT. 78 rush yards.
And?  
Route 9 : 9/4/2024 11:44 am : link
...
RE: And?  
Milton : 9/4/2024 1:02 pm : link
In comment 16594752 Route 9 said:
Quote:
...
And yet you think 15/28 for 187 yards with 0 TD, 1 INT, and 1 rushing TD is likely. That's what's called being irrationally negative just for the sake of being negative. But, hey, get it all out now. You haters are so afraid that Jones will have a good season that you're spewing all your vile while you still have the chance.
Oh yeah, BBI.  
Route 9 : 9/4/2024 1:14 pm : link
Right. Not caring for a particular QB equates to being vile when you're hypersensitive, I guess.

Those games were good games for Jones, true. The argument, from my stance, was the numbers I presented were more common in his case.

Let's see what your hero can do against Minnesota without Barkley this weekend.

Hopefully, for once, you guys are actually right this time around. This is getting boring.
RE: RE: And?  
ThomasG : 9/4/2024 1:15 pm : link
In comment 16594871 Milton said:
Quote:
In comment 16594752 Route 9 said:


Quote:


...

And yet you think 15/28 for 187 yards with 0 TD, 1 INT, and 1 rushing TD is likely. That's what's called being irrationally negative just for the sake of being negative. But, hey, get it all out now. You haters are so afraid that Jones will have a good season that you're spewing all your vile while you still have the chance.


Not afraid if DJ has a good season. Only afraid of what the Giants think is a good season.

In the meanwhile we have to put up with your views of a good DJ season.
RE: Oh yeah, BBI.  
Milton : 9/4/2024 2:12 pm : link
In comment 16594884 Route 9 said:
Quote:
Right. Not caring for a particular QB equates to being vile when you're hypersensitive, I guess.
This is way beyond not caring for a particular QB. This is seizing every opportunity to denigrate him regardless of how farfetched.

Quote:
Let's see what your hero can do against Minnesota without Barkley this weekend.
He's not my hero, but the hate he receives is so out of bounds I can't help but come to his defense. As for missing Barkley, the upgrades at OL and WR will more than make up for his absence (and besides that, there are pluses that come with Singletary despite lacking Barkley's explosiveness).

Quote:
Hopefully, for once, you guys are actually right this time around.
Hopefully, yes, but it's not really about right or wrong, it's about a rampant (and unfounded) level of negativity.
Well  
Route 9 : 9/4/2024 2:52 pm : link
You're right about that. Who cares about right or wrong? Exactly.
RE: RE: Oh yeah, BBI.  
Scooter185 : 9/4/2024 3:03 pm : link
In comment 16594942 Milton said:
Quote:
He's not my hero, but the hate he receives is so out of bounds I can't help but come to his defense.


I could understand defending Eli this when he got crap because he actually won. But this "i must defend Jones because of all the people who hate him" mentality, when he's done nothing as a Giant, is what makes the DJFC a reality
Agree with Lambuth  
SomeFan : 9/5/2024 7:02 am : link
Week 1 for the Giants in the past decade or so has been telling. We shall see what they do against an opponent that appears mediocre at best.

Not sure about DJ but would guess his play is similar to last year and probably wildly inconsistent.
RE: Just last year  
SomeFan : 9/5/2024 7:07 am : link
In comment 16594114 4xchamps said:
Quote:
In week one:

The Ravens beat the Texans by 17
The Jets beat the Bills

In week 2
The Colts beat the Texans by 11
Seahawks beat the Lions
And the Falcons beat the Packers


The point is the Giants have been different and week 1 has been a good indicator as to how the rest of the year would pan out.
......  
Route 9 : 9/8/2024 3:25 pm : link
Look at that. He was 15/28 during one point of the game and 1 INT but only had 148 yards lol.
I'll say it  
gidiefor : Mod : 9/8/2024 3:29 pm : link
Daniel Jones Sux
We already know how this story unfolds  
Dave in PA : 9/8/2024 3:40 pm : link
Giants are going to win maybe 4 games. They will lose a few in comical fashion, having grasped defeat from the jaws of victory. There will be more than a few absolute blowouts. There will be one or two games they should have lost but their opponent plays terribly. But the one thing we ALL know, is that they will do just enough not to get a shot at a top QB in the draft without a bend over the barrel type trade.
Pages: 1 2 <<Prev | Show All |
Back to the Corner