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Athletic: Execs rank NYG 15th in NFC

Scooter185 : 9/5/2024 12:38 pm
And I've double checked this time to make sure it was executives and not agents lol

Quote:
The execs, whose backgrounds range from personnel evaluation to contracts/salary cap and analytics/strategy, ranked every team in each conference on condition of anonymity for competitive reasons. They also offered explanations, some of which are included below.

Teams are ordered by the median of their rankings, with ties between teams broken by average vote. All five voters’ ballots, along with the median and average for each team, are in the table below.


Giants blurb:
Quote:
Votes: 16-11-14-15-16 | Avg.: 14.4 | Median: 15

Any path for the Giants to surprise probably includes a breakout season from rookie receiver Malik Nabers.

“If Nabers or (Marvin) Harrison were Rookie of the Year, that means they had a bigger year than the quarterbacks — a historic year that would uplift their teams,” one exec said.

The Giants appear optimistic, having unretired Hall of Famer Ray Flaherty’s No. 1 jersey so the rookie can wear that number.

“Their best chance with Daniel Jones is to do what they did a couple years ago: Go heavy play-action, simple boots with simple reads, and scheme those guys to be open,” an exec who considers Jones to be a low Tier 3 quarterback said. “There is definitely a ceiling there. Unless they know something we all don’t, they are kind of existing.”
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RE: This board can be something  
cosmicj : 9/6/2024 8:59 am : link
In comment 16595971 Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
An annual survey of league sources on their expectations for the season. One of the teams discussed, which finished with the sixth worst record in the league last year and lost their best offensive player, is projected to be near the bottom of the standings again.

The reaction of some? This was a biased hit piece written just for the purpose of upsetting Giants fans for some unknown reason.

Unbelieveable.


Agree with your overall point but Thomas is our best offensive player and it’s not close. I hope this fact will start to be debated with Nabers on the squad. But Saquon, nah.
RE: I can’t wait to move on from Jones  
Jerry in_DC : 9/6/2024 9:24 am : link
In comment 16596165 BigBlueShock said:
Quote:
And I don’t think they’ll be very good this season but I also can’t help but to think the expectations from a lot of people cratered even more after that disastrous preseason game Jones had. Expectations were never great but there was a bit of curiosity before that game and they’ve been getting much harsher criticism since that game. At least it seems that way to me. And if so, it’s pretty lame


Yeah, agree. Jones on the field is not going to be some epic catastrophe. He is an NFL player with a ton of game and practice experience. He is perfectly capable of functioning as a conservative, capable backup QB who will have a occasional good game. And he probably believes, with some justification, that if he performs at that level then he will continue to be the starting QB and continue to make massive amounts of money.

People should not be expecting an incompetent disaster. The expectation should be the same low-risk, easy passes, choose to run if the easy read is covered - low ceiling offense.
RE: RE: I can’t wait to move on from Jones  
Cap'n Bluebeard : 9/6/2024 9:42 am : link
In comment 16596178 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
In comment 16596165 BigBlueShock said:


Quote:


And I don’t think they’ll be very good this season but I also can’t help but to think the expectations from a lot of people cratered even more after that disastrous preseason game Jones had. Expectations were never great but there was a bit of curiosity before that game and they’ve been getting much harsher criticism since that game. At least it seems that way to me. And if so, it’s pretty lame



Yeah, agree. Jones on the field is not going to be some epic catastrophe. He is an NFL player with a ton of game and practice experience. He is perfectly capable of functioning as a conservative, capable backup QB who will have a occasional good game. And he probably believes, with some justification, that if he performs at that level then he will continue to be the starting QB and continue to make massive amounts of money.

People should not be expecting an incompetent disaster. The expectation should be the same low-risk, easy passes, choose to run if the easy read is covered - low ceiling offense.


I agree with this. The Giants have improved their roster across the board with the exception of QB. That's admittedly a HUGE exception, but even with a similarly weak QB room last year, they weren't the worst team in the league. I personally won't go there because I don't think the difference between Jones, Lock, and DeVito is as drastic as it should be, but an argument can be made that getting Jones back might be an improvement over DeVito and Taylor last year.
Its not clickbait  
nygiants16 : 9/6/2024 9:59 am : link
you can call it lazy analysis but i dont think it is clickbait, As long as Jones is the QB nobody is going to pick the zgiants to do anything regardless of the talent aorund him...

This team is a lot more tslented than the team that went to the playoffs 2 years ago but as of right now nobody is going to believe in this team
RE: RE: I can’t wait to move on from Jones  
nygiants16 : 9/6/2024 10:00 am : link
In comment 16596178 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
In comment 16596165 BigBlueShock said:


Quote:


And I don’t think they’ll be very good this season but I also can’t help but to think the expectations from a lot of people cratered even more after that disastrous preseason game Jones had. Expectations were never great but there was a bit of curiosity before that game and they’ve been getting much harsher criticism since that game. At least it seems that way to me. And if so, it’s pretty lame



Yeah, agree. Jones on the field is not going to be some epic catastrophe. He is an NFL player with a ton of game and practice experience. He is perfectly capable of functioning as a conservative, capable backup QB who will have a occasional good game. And he probably believes, with some justification, that if he performs at that level then he will continue to be the starting QB and continue to make massive amounts of money.

People should not be expecting an incompetent disaster. The expectation should be the same low-risk, easy passes, choose to run if the easy read is covered - low ceiling offense.


Highly doubtful with Daboll calling the plays that the offense wont be agressive..

All you have to do is read the practice reporta to know this team is gojng to push the ball down the field
There are at least 25 teams in the NFL  
Jerry in_DC : 9/6/2024 10:03 am : link
More talented than the 2022 Giants
RE: There are at least 25 teams in the NFL  
nygiants16 : 9/6/2024 10:15 am : link
In comment 16596208 Jerry in_DC said:
Quote:
More talented than the 2022 Giants


Giants are young but they have talent

for example the receiving room is very talented they are just extremely young and unproven..

The oline should be much better with better coaching and proven players..

Singletary is not a gamewrecker but he is one of the more consistent RBs in the NFL

Theo Johnson looks the part and has all the talent

Dline is elite

Okereke is an elite player..

Even the secondary that everyone hates has a lot of young talent, Banks, Phillips, Nubin, Belton and Pinnockk
RE: RE: RE: Oh well  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 10:21 am : link
In comment 16595852 Joey in VA said:
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In comment 16595682 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 16595641 Joey in VA said:


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May as well not watch games now. Maybe I can start going to church or read a good book on Sundays. According to "executives" we are going to be picking 2nd or 4th. Scintillating work Athletic. You have now joined every other publication in being a click bait shit heap.


What's clickbait about projecting a frequently crappy team in recent years to once again be a crappy team.

Calling things clickbait seems to just be the adult equivalent of putting our fingers in our ears. It doesn't actually mean anything most of the time, other than a declaration that we don't like what it says so we assume the source is just trying to be inflammatory for clicks.

I'll tell you why. It's meant to inflame a fanbase that is already riled up. Look how many responses its had, it's doing the job intended, making people get all mad at the Giants and Mara and everyone involved. It's not data driven, it's not analysis, it's "Executives" who aren't named spewing hatred towards a team they think is bad. It merely fans the flames and this board and fanbase are all on fire until this ship gets turned around. I'm not expecting more than 7 wins, no one should with this bunch, so ad nauseum piling on from the Athletic, yes it's click bait. Duggan USED to be objective and thorough and just reported his observations, now he's joined the rest of those muppets in stoking the fires. Good for him, it works, it's how the world works now. Piss off angry people with rhetoric and watch the mob tear itself apart. I don't disagree with this assessment either, but make a point with an article, don't just kick a dead horse.

Duggan didn't write this piece.

It's an article about the entire NFC. It happens to have unfavorable remarks about the Giants, but what would you expect from execs at other teams who have watched the Giants be largely mediocre for the past decade and return the same QB who has presided over the most recent half of that decade? Do you think it would be realistic (let alone appropriate or accurate) to shower the Giants with optimistic praise just because you used to like Dan Duggan's work (again, Duggan didn't write this piece)?

I think it might just be easier to walk back your original stance as having been fundamentally incorrect (this piece doesn't pass the sniff test as what most would commonly call "clickbait"), but do as you please.
I think we're using different definitions of clickbait.  
Big Blue Blogger : 9/6/2024 10:27 am : link
I have no issue with the content. It's interesting to know what League insiders think of each team, though I doubt most of the "executives" are very senior. (Most GMs, AGMs, and Pro Personnel Directors have better things to do and no incentive to give an opinion.)

I called the piece clickbait because it follows a proven formula for generating clicks: take subjective opinions (no matter how reputable the sources) and structure them as a list to create the illusion of precision so there's more room for disagreement. That's how listicles work. For example, we might all agree that Ursula Andress, Jane Seymour, Halle Berry, and Daniela Bianchi are among the ten hottest Bond girls. But which should be #3, #5, #6, and #8? Is "Satisfaction" the greatest Rolling Stones song, or does it rank third, behind "Gimme Shelter" and Sympathy for the Devil"?, or some other combination? We can agree (or disagree) that they are all great songs, but publish a list ranking them and watch an entire Subreddit bloom, debating the order and the reasons. ("Halle looked even better in the bikini than Ursula!" "Gimme Shelter has the greatest supporting vocal ever recorded!")

TL/DR: It's worth knowing that NFL executives think the Giants are among the worst teams in the League. That's not clickbait. A precise ranking is clickbait, because it's the same content packaged according to a well-worn clickbait formula. The useful content is still there. The false-precision packaging is the bait.
for a little historical context here was last years  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 10:37 am : link
as it turns out, despite the same coach/QB and probably a generally similar roster in terms of name talent (+burns/nabers, -barkley/waller) they had the giants middle of the conference on the playoff bubble.



they predicted the packers 11th, rams 15th, and bucs 14th. so 3 of their bottom 6 made the playoffs.

1 exec predicted the panthers 4th best so they werent even among the bottom 6.

credit where it's due they got the 4 best right, but below that it was throwing darts.
RE: RE: this Giants  
BrettNYG10 : 9/6/2024 10:38 am : link
In comment 16596157 leatherneck570 said:
Quote:
In comment 16596075 Eric from BBI said:


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team is way better than the 2022 team that won a playoff game.

We shall see.



I don’t think they were very good that year either. And that same playbook won’t work without Saquon.


I agree, I think that offense was ideal for Jones, whose best quality is as a runner. The receivers and OL are (probably) way better this year, but he won't have Saquon giving the offense a dual-threat run option.
RE: RE: no truth to the rumors  
djm : 9/6/2024 10:41 am : link
In comment 16595700 eric2425ny said:
Quote:
In comment 16595655 djm said:


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that Mr Mara has cloned himself 15 times. I kid I kid...I have them around 500 this season which falls in line with this.



That’s 15th in the NFC though right? Not the league. So they probably see us winning 3-5 games.


Ahh so much for one halfway hopeful prediction this summer. Oh well...we always have the BBI podcast.

I still have them at around 8-9 wins.

But some here (not you) are concerned we are veering away from "reality."

Prognostications aren't reality. They are merely predictions. Far too many examples where the NFL world and it's talkies and fans failed to see the resurgent team coming. I don't really give a crap until the games happen.
and here was 2022  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 10:44 am : link
it was sort of a reversal their top 2 teams both missed the playoffs. they somehow had the 2022 giants ranked better than even this year even though that roster had a ton of holes though they were 2 of the bottom 4 ranked teams who made the playoffs (seattle the other).



executive comments and opinions are great, but there are better contexts for their predictive value or value in general. the NFL is a volatile league where worst to firsts happen on average i think in 2-3 divisions every year. almost all of them are unexpected. that unknown is what makes the NFL so fun.
2022 - NFL execs rank NFC teams: Rams No. 1, Eagles and Cowboys neck and neck - ( New Window )
RE: for a little historical context here was last years  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 10:47 am : link
In comment 16596231 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
as it turns out, despite the same coach/QB and probably a generally similar roster in terms of name talent (+burns/nabers, -barkley/waller) they had the giants middle of the conference on the playoff bubble.



they predicted the packers 11th, rams 15th, and bucs 14th. so 3 of their bottom 6 made the playoffs.

1 exec predicted the panthers 4th best so they werent even among the bottom 6.

credit where it's due they got the 4 best right, but below that it was throwing darts.

It always will be, IMO - that seems to be the nature of these preseason prediction articles, whether they come in the form of rankings, tiers, just general team previews, etc., they are always going to be informed to an outsized degree by recency bias.

Part of that, I'm sure, is already baked into the way most readers receive these sorts of pieces - they know that it's often going to be just a combination of last year's standings with a subjective view of this past offseason's draft and FA activity layered on top. And to the extent that we know that going in (and would have no reason to expect any greater precision or accuracy than that anyway), I just don't see how anyone calls these clickbait. Are they a waste of time? I guess, assuming there are actually fans who think they're using their time to read an airtight accurate forecast of the upcoming season's NFC rankings.

But if we accept that these articles are just meant to feed the demand of NFL fans in general as the season arrives, there doesn't seem to be anything inherently wrong with this sort of articles since they're not promising accuracy. They're very clearly, by format and definition, offering a compilation of subjective opinions by those whose expertise resides somewhere between "fan" and "professional analyst" (and the latter isn't necessarily any more accurate than the former for this sort of content).

It's just fluff. That's it. I don't think fluff journalism is clickbait, however. Clickbait is intentionally sensationalist (and often misleading at the headline/CTA level). Fluff is just, well, fluff.
RE: for a little historical context here was last years  
BrettNYG10 : 9/6/2024 10:48 am : link
In comment 16596231 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
as it turns out, despite the same coach/QB and probably a generally similar roster in terms of name talent (+burns/nabers, -barkley/waller) they had the giants middle of the conference on the playoff bubble.



they predicted the packers 11th, rams 15th, and bucs 14th. so 3 of their bottom 6 made the playoffs.

1 exec predicted the panthers 4th best so they werent even among the bottom 6.

credit where it's due they got the 4 best right, but below that it was throwing darts.


Just a reminder that Brett was totally right about the Rams last season!!!
RE: link from last year's rankings  
djm : 9/6/2024 10:51 am : link
In comment 16595716 jhibb said:
Quote:
below 2023 NFL execs rank NFC teams - ( New Window )


It's astounding to me how I have to drill this point into so many and yet people still try to debate it.

There is no debate. Nearly everyone makes predictions off of last season. Some exceptions but even those examples offer up a ton of context or clues as to why. The Lions heading into last year were picked to be good or very good but they were the hottest team in the NFL down the stretch of 2022.

Yeah, they vegas lines on seasonal success probably hover in the 65-70% correct rate, more or less. To me that isn't impressive. That means around 5-6 teams do exactly the opposite of what was predicted.

Anyone can hit a 65-70 % number. And no one is ever 100% correct or even close.
and again  
djm : 9/6/2024 10:54 am : link
just to stop the usual retort, I aint saying to bet NYG. I am saying these things are always littered with wrong.

Literally every single golden era (even Fassel's run of decent play) of NYG football in the modern era was NOT expected. See 19o84. See 1989. See 1997. See 2000. See 2005-2008 and once again 2011.

Doesn't mean NYG win this year but save me the hysterics. I've seen this song and dance far too often. The 99 Rams were not even a blip on the NFL landscape until they nuked the entire league.
I am NOT saying to bet NYG  
djm : 9/6/2024 10:54 am : link
I never bet them anyway.
RE: I think we're using different definitions of clickbait.  
ColHowPepper : 9/6/2024 10:55 am : link
In comment 16596221 Big Blue Blogger said:
Quote:
....TL/DR: It's worth knowing that NFL executives think the Giants are among the worst teams in the League. That's not clickbait. A precise ranking is clickbait, because it's the same content packaged according to a well-worn clickbait formula. The useful content is still there. The false-precision packaging is the bait.

BBB I get your point but think you're drawing too wide a divide between the substance of knowing what NFL execs think ("subjective opinions (no matter how reputable the sources)...", I think reputability counts for a lot here) and precision. Maybe posters' outcries vs the article are less the precision vs being uncomfortable with plain truths, the Giants have been a doormat and will continue to be until proven otherwise on the field. It's a bit like fans lambasting DAL, PHI, or NYJ for each perceived flaw or stupidity because somehow that obscures the grim realities of the home team.
.....  
BrettNYG10 : 9/6/2024 10:55 am : link
I wouldn't be surprised if we compete for a WC spot, the NFC sucks, but I expect 5-7 wins. I'd be shocked if we are an 11+ win team.

I think the Cardinals and Bears make the playoffs this year.
RE: RE: link from last year's rankings  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 10:57 am : link
In comment 16596249 djm said:
Quote:
In comment 16595716 jhibb said:


Quote:


below 2023 NFL execs rank NFC teams - ( New Window )



It's astounding to me how I have to drill this point into so many and yet people still try to debate it.

There is no debate. Nearly everyone makes predictions off of last season. Some exceptions but even those examples offer up a ton of context or clues as to why. The Lions heading into last year were picked to be good or very good but they were the hottest team in the NFL down the stretch of 2022.

Yeah, they vegas lines on seasonal success probably hover in the 65-70% correct rate, more or less. To me that isn't impressive. That means around 5-6 teams do exactly the opposite of what was predicted.

Anyone can hit a 65-70 % number. And no one is ever 100% correct or even close.

If "anyone can hit a 65-70% number" on team futures before the season begins, then everyone should bet on each and every team and come out ahead even after the losses and the vig.

Most people will land well south of 55% correct, I guarantee it. Because I see those people's houses and I see the casinos. I know which one ends up with more money.
cool  
djm : 9/6/2024 11:01 am : link
my point stands. Most never see the resurgent teams coming. Prove me wrong. I'd love to see all these talkies getting out in front of these turnaround teams. I have posted links showing they rarely do. If you're good last year, you're picked to be good next year unless the roster was ripped apart of the HC was lost or both.

It's what have you done lately which is fine by me, but I won't set my watch to it.

RE: cool  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 11:12 am : link
In comment 16596261 djm said:
Quote:
my point stands. Most never see the resurgent teams coming. Prove me wrong. I'd love to see all these talkies getting out in front of these turnaround teams. I have posted links showing they rarely do. If you're good last year, you're picked to be good next year unless the roster was ripped apart of the HC was lost or both.

It's what have you done lately which is fine by me, but I won't set my watch to it.

For anyone who thinks that these articles are ever going to be accurate or expects them to be, the problem resides entirely between their chair and their keyboard.
and when I say 65-70%  
djm : 9/6/2024 11:23 am : link
I didn't necessarily mean over and unders as much as good vs bad but you might be right and the # is still too high. If everyone hit that mark they'd all be winning against Vegas, nope. But you will still see a number of teams eclipse that over under # by 2+ games.


it is what it is NYG suck until proven otherwise. I get that part.
RE: RE: cool  
djm : 9/6/2024 11:25 am : link
In comment 16596273 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 16596261 djm said:


Quote:


my point stands. Most never see the resurgent teams coming. Prove me wrong. I'd love to see all these talkies getting out in front of these turnaround teams. I have posted links showing they rarely do. If you're good last year, you're picked to be good next year unless the roster was ripped apart of the HC was lost or both.

It's what have you done lately which is fine by me, but I won't set my watch to it.



For anyone who thinks that these articles are ever going to be accurate or expects them to be, the problem resides entirely between their chair and their keyboard.


All I am saying is they rarely see the resurgent teams coming. You're parsing my words to argue.
RE: RE: RE: cool  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 11:38 am : link
In comment 16596284 djm said:
Quote:
In comment 16596273 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 16596261 djm said:


Quote:


my point stands. Most never see the resurgent teams coming. Prove me wrong. I'd love to see all these talkies getting out in front of these turnaround teams. I have posted links showing they rarely do. If you're good last year, you're picked to be good next year unless the roster was ripped apart of the HC was lost or both.

It's what have you done lately which is fine by me, but I won't set my watch to it.



For anyone who thinks that these articles are ever going to be accurate or expects them to be, the problem resides entirely between their chair and their keyboard.



All I am saying is they rarely see the resurgent teams coming. You're parsing my words to argue.

I don't think we are even disagreeing, it's just that you're kinda taking both sides when you say that anyone could nail 70% of these picks (which I know you've since backed off of) and simultaneously that no one sees the surprise teams coming.

I agree entirely with you on the latter point. Honestly, I'm never expecting accuracy from these sort of articles because I know they're just fluff that we see in every sport (or really every entertainment media) at the beginning of every season. Right before the fall TV season, there will invariably be a list of best new shows to watch this year. Will that list be accurate? Probably not! You might see a list of best pizza places in NYC, and it'll be mostly correct, but will miss some great spots, will list some garbage spots, and will have them all ordered differently than you or I would. Hell, college football relies way too heavily on preseason rankings to inform subsequent rankings throughout the year and those are essentially the same as the article in the OP.

My point was never about the accuracy of these articles. I don't even think the accuracy is the point. I think the comments within the article have some value (it's interesting to get a sense of the perspective from outside the fanbase echo chambers), and the discussion that the article provokes can sometimes be interesting (e.g., BBI discussing a list of NYC's best pizza places will generate a wide range of opinions and feedback, and all of that is usually more valuable than the article itself).

But it's not clickbait. That was where I entered the discussion and the only point I was trying to make. Being inaccurate doesn't make it clickbait. It just makes it a fluff piece that exists in dozens of other topics about things people consume.
RE: RE: for a little historical context here was last years  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 11:58 am : link
In comment 16596245 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
In comment 16596231 Eric on Li said:


Quote:


as it turns out, despite the same coach/QB and probably a generally similar roster in terms of name talent (+burns/nabers, -barkley/waller) they had the giants middle of the conference on the playoff bubble.



they predicted the packers 11th, rams 15th, and bucs 14th. so 3 of their bottom 6 made the playoffs.

1 exec predicted the panthers 4th best so they werent even among the bottom 6.

credit where it's due they got the 4 best right, but below that it was throwing darts.



Just a reminder that Brett was totally right about the Rams last season!!!


were you? i thought they were going to be the worst defense in nfl history.
RE: .....  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 12:00 pm : link
In comment 16596254 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
I wouldn't be surprised if we compete for a WC spot, the NFC sucks, but I expect 5-7 wins. I'd be shocked if we are an 11+ win team.

I think the Cardinals and Bears make the playoffs this year.


i dont see it with the cards. bears if caleb is good they can beat anyone with him and those 3 receivers. kmet is very good too. eberflus could also implode, he's an inseason firing candidate.
....  
BrettNYG10 : 9/6/2024 12:03 pm : link
Quote:
....
BrettNYG10 : 9/12/2023 10:07 am : link
I thought: 1. The Seahawks were not as good as they were last year and revert a bit. 2. The Rams would be a 8-10 win team and contend for a WC spot. I had them winning this game. People forget how good Stafford is.


Cards are a spicy pick, but I think Murray is better than people think.
RE: RE: RE: RE: cool  
djm : 9/6/2024 12:05 pm : link
In comment 16596291 Gatorade Dunk said:
Quote:
In comment 16596284 djm said:


Quote:


In comment 16596273 Gatorade Dunk said:


Quote:


In comment 16596261 djm said:


Quote:


my point stands. Most never see the resurgent teams coming. Prove me wrong. I'd love to see all these talkies getting out in front of these turnaround teams. I have posted links showing they rarely do. If you're good last year, you're picked to be good next year unless the roster was ripped apart of the HC was lost or both.

It's what have you done lately which is fine by me, but I won't set my watch to it.



For anyone who thinks that these articles are ever going to be accurate or expects them to be, the problem resides entirely between their chair and their keyboard.



All I am saying is they rarely see the resurgent teams coming. You're parsing my words to argue.


I don't think we are even disagreeing, it's just that you're kinda taking both sides when you say that anyone could nail 70% of these picks (which I know you've since backed off of) and simultaneously that no one sees the surprise teams coming.

I agree entirely with you on the latter point. Honestly, I'm never expecting accuracy from these sort of articles because I know they're just fluff that we see in every sport (or really every entertainment media) at the beginning of every season. Right before the fall TV season, there will invariably be a list of best new shows to watch this year. Will that list be accurate? Probably not! You might see a list of best pizza places in NYC, and it'll be mostly correct, but will miss some great spots, will list some garbage spots, and will have them all ordered differently than you or I would. Hell, college football relies way too heavily on preseason rankings to inform subsequent rankings throughout the year and those are essentially the same as the article in the OP.

My point was never about the accuracy of these articles. I don't even think the accuracy is the point. I think the comments within the article have some value (it's interesting to get a sense of the perspective from outside the fanbase echo chambers), and the discussion that the article provokes can sometimes be interesting (e.g., BBI discussing a list of NYC's best pizza places will generate a wide range of opinions and feedback, and all of that is usually more valuable than the article itself).

But it's not clickbait. That was where I entered the discussion and the only point I was trying to make. Being inaccurate doesn't make it clickbait. It just makes it a fluff piece that exists in dozens of other topics about things people consume.


Yep I get you. Everyone thinks they will suck for good reason. Nyg need to change that perception.
RE: ....  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 12:07 pm : link
In comment 16596326 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:


Quote:


....
BrettNYG10 : 9/12/2023 10:07 am : link
I thought: 1. The Seahawks were not as good as they were last year and revert a bit. 2. The Rams would be a 8-10 win team and contend for a WC spot. I had them winning this game. People forget how good Stafford is.



Cards are a spicy pick, but I think Murray is better than people think.


that was a good call, i thought rams were full on tanking last year.

the only thing i got right with them last year was bidding big on kyren/puka after week 1 for ff.

cards are interesting, they were more competitive than i expected last year and MHJ is legit. conner underrated plus benson. i dont see enough quality on their lines of scrimmage and their defense in particular looks pretty bad on paper. but so was rams last year and they got by, so coaching can make up for a lot of paper deficiency.
RE: I think we're using different definitions of clickbait.  
Mike from Ohio : 9/6/2024 12:13 pm : link
In comment 16596221 Big Blue Blogger said:
Quote:
I have no issue with the content. It's interesting to know what League insiders think of each team, though I doubt most of the "executives" are very senior. (Most GMs, AGMs, and Pro Personnel Directors have better things to do and no incentive to give an opinion.)

I called the piece clickbait because it follows a proven formula for generating clicks: take subjective opinions (no matter how reputable the sources) and structure them as a list to create the illusion of precision so there's more room for disagreement. That's how listicles work. For example, we might all agree that Ursula Andress, Jane Seymour, Halle Berry, and Daniela Bianchi are among the ten hottest Bond girls. But which should be #3, #5, #6, and #8? Is "Satisfaction" the greatest Rolling Stones song, or does it rank third, behind "Gimme Shelter" and Sympathy for the Devil"?, or some other combination? We can agree (or disagree) that they are all great songs, but publish a list ranking them and watch an entire Subreddit bloom, debating the order and the reasons. ("Halle looked even better in the bikini than Ursula!" "Gimme Shelter has the greatest supporting vocal ever recorded!")

TL/DR: It's worth knowing that NFL executives think the Giants are among the worst teams in the League. That's not clickbait. A precise ranking is clickbait, because it's the same content packaged according to a well-worn clickbait formula. The useful content is still there. The false-precision packaging is the bait.


The way you are defining clickbait is just very different than the way it is used by most everyone else. It is very clear that they said they took the ratings and calculated the mean. It implies absolutely no level of precision beyond that. Anyone expecting more precision in that article was assuming something that simply wasn't there.
RE: RE: ....  
BrettNYG10 : 9/6/2024 12:19 pm : link
In comment 16596333 Eric on Li said:
Quote:
In comment 16596326 BrettNYG10 said:


Quote:




Quote:


....
BrettNYG10 : 9/12/2023 10:07 am : link
I thought: 1. The Seahawks were not as good as they were last year and revert a bit. 2. The Rams would be a 8-10 win team and contend for a WC spot. I had them winning this game. People forget how good Stafford is.



Cards are a spicy pick, but I think Murray is better than people think.



that was a good call, i thought rams were full on tanking last year.

the only thing i got right with them last year was bidding big on kyren/puka after week 1 for ff.

cards are interesting, they were more competitive than i expected last year and MHJ is legit. conner underrated plus benson. i dont see enough quality on their lines of scrimmage and their defense in particular looks pretty bad on paper. but so was rams last year and they got by, so coaching can make up for a lot of paper deficiency.


Thanks--big believer in QB+coach doing surprising things. Murray isn't as good as Stafford but he's got some nice weapons this year and will put up points.

I also think some guys like Baker and Love are getting overrated after good seasons and that they'll be a little worse this year. I'm bearish on the Packers.
most listicles are clickbait  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 12:20 pm : link
people like ranking things even though it rarely if ever matters. billions of mock drafts could probably be considered clickbait because we all click even though we know it's meaningless.

there's obviously degrees of clickbait of which this type of content is probably on the tamest side so i dont think any of you are wrong. nothing about this content was egregious or misrepresented. it's like a 2025 mock draft from a good analyst like daniel jeremiah, interesting even though some of it will look silly in a few months.
Why are people conflating the idea  
Mike from Ohio : 9/6/2024 12:20 pm : link
that having NFL execs give predictions and sharing them for public consumption is the same thing as making precise predictions people should rely on? Two totally separate things. Of course doing this article very year is not going to result in 100% accuracy. If you expect that, or need proof that sometimes it is not 100% accurate, the article is not the problem.

"We asked some NFL executives what their predictions for final standings would be. Here are the average results of those surveys." That was it. Full stop. Nobody every suggested these were absolute expectations of the final league standings. That is an absolute straw man argument.

Reading comprehension seems to be a dying art.
Few posters gently mention  
Lines of Scrimmage : 9/6/2024 12:23 pm : link
"clickbait" and then a few more posters use multiple paragraphs to explain with it isn't. Mission accomplished.

The content has very little value. Over emphasis on one player in a game that is all about team. If you are going to put Giants at 15/16 then you should be going very hard at both the GM/HC heading into year 3 imv.
RE: RE: RE: ....  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 12:24 pm : link
In comment 16596345 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:

Thanks--big believer in QB+coach doing surprising things. Murray isn't as good as Stafford but he's got some nice weapons this year and will put up points.

I also think some guys like Baker and Love are getting overrated after good seasons and that they'll be a little worse this year. I'm bearish on the Packers.


im with you on packers/bucs. also think miami comes back to earth bc they lost some key ol/dl and would think the league has found some better ways to bottle up their big plays outside tyreek.

also think seattle is a really risky team this year. pete carroll was a good coach (at worst borderline HOF) and if i had to guess his departure is under-appreciated right now.

houston is another team that is sort of set up for regression but i think they may be good enough to overcome that. same as bears, if stroud plays well with tank, collins, diggs they can beat anyone.
...  
BrettNYG10 : 9/6/2024 12:29 pm : link
I agree with you on everyone other than maybe HOU, but mostly because I think the Diggs addition will push them to another level. To your point, I think they have a wider outcome distribution than most people think, though. I can see them missing the playoffs but would be surprised if they're like a five or six win team.

I'm intrigued to see how Richardson does in Indy this year. I don't have a view on him. I also think JAX bounces back and has a 11-12 win season.
RE: RE: I think we're using different definitions of clickbait.  
Big Blue Blogger : 9/6/2024 12:34 pm : link
Mike from Ohio said:
Quote:
The way you are defining clickbait is just very different than the way it is used by most everyone else. It is very clear that they said they took the ratings and calculated the mean. It implies absolutely no level of precision beyond that. Anyone expecting more precision in that article was assuming something that simply wasn't there.

Mike: I think Eric from LI put it well below: There are different types and degrees of clickbait. I guess it would be most accurate to say this is interesting content presented in a way that has some clickbaitish, listicle-adjacent attributes. I shouldn't have simply labeled the whole thing as clickbait. Again, I don't think we are disagreeing about the substance at all. On to Sunday, and hoping that the executives are wrong (though I fear they aren't).
 
christian : 9/6/2024 12:48 pm : link
I only read the Giants entry yesterday, but had a chance this morning to read the entire article. It's cram jammed with good observations. I loved the observation Detroit treats 3rd down like 2nd down for instance.

I get the aversion to stack ranking teams before the season. But the Athletic does a really good job of getting insights from execs and front offices.
RE: Few posters gently mention  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 12:53 pm : link
In comment 16596349 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
"clickbait" and then a few more posters use multiple paragraphs to explain with it isn't. Mission accomplished.

The content has very little value. Over emphasis on one player in a game that is all about team. If you are going to put Giants at 15/16 then you should be going very hard at both the GM/HC heading into year 3 imv.

Who's going to be going very hard at both the GM/HC, the various team execs who were surveyed? Fundamentally, that's who put the Giants at 15, not The Athletic.
Emotions and the heart get in the way  
JonC : 9/6/2024 12:57 pm : link
.
RE: RE: RE: I think we're using different definitions of clickbait.  
Mike from Ohio : 9/6/2024 12:58 pm : link
In comment 16596366 Big Blue Blogger said:
Quote:
Mike from Ohio said:

Quote:


The way you are defining clickbait is just very different than the way it is used by most everyone else. It is very clear that they said they took the ratings and calculated the mean. It implies absolutely no level of precision beyond that. Anyone expecting more precision in that article was assuming something that simply wasn't there.


Mike: I think Eric from LI put it well below: There are different types and degrees of clickbait. I guess it would be most accurate to say this is interesting content presented in a way that has some clickbaitish, listicle-adjacent attributes. I shouldn't have simply labeled the whole thing as clickbait. Again, I don't think we are disagreeing about the substance at all. On to Sunday, and hoping that the executives are wrong (though I fear they aren't).


On to Sunday. As I have done for the past several years, I will hope the experts - and me - are wrong about how good this team is. While I am pessimistic about the chances of this team being genuinely good, at kickoff I will have convinced myself they can win this game every week.

Hope we both have an amazing afternoon on Sunday!
 
christian : 9/6/2024 1:00 pm : link
I was struck with how gentle Joey put it to start the conversation.
Quote:
You have now joined every other publication in being a click bait shit heap.

So gentle, I almost missed it.
RE: ...  
Eric on Li : 9/6/2024 1:08 pm : link
In comment 16596360 BrettNYG10 said:
Quote:
I agree with you on everyone other than maybe HOU, but mostly because I think the Diggs addition will push them to another level. To your point, I think they have a wider outcome distribution than most people think, though. I can see them missing the playoffs but would be surprised if they're like a five or six win team.

I'm intrigued to see how Richardson does in Indy this year. I don't have a view on him. I also think JAX bounces back and has a 11-12 win season.


agree on jax, not high on richardson. steichen seems good but i think richardson is too much run, not enough pass, and injury waiting to happen.

jax OL was a disaster last year bc they had a bunch of injuries and got really bad play from their C but they replaced him with Morse this year who should stabilize. between the OL and the related injuries to lawrence, that they went 9-8 was a very good "down" year.
Yes  
Lines of Scrimmage : 9/6/2024 1:14 pm : link
Then that should also be a major focus of the criticism and reason for the ranking if you want to go 15/16 as I already said in my last post.

RE: Yes  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 1:17 pm : link
In comment 16596408 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
Then that should also be a major focus of the criticism and reason for the ranking if you want to go 15/16 as I already said in my last post.

But the people who did the ranking are executives with other NFL teams and did so via survey. This wasn't a targeted assessment of the Giants in particular, and the people who are responsible for the ranking aren't fans or media, so how are they supposed to go hard after the GM/HC?

I'm genuinely trying to understand the point you're making.
You answered  
Lines of Scrimmage : 9/6/2024 1:33 pm : link
the question you asked me in your last post without even realizing it. Just think it through a little bit and refer to my last post and even some others in this thread.
RE: You answered  
Gatorade Dunk : 9/6/2024 1:37 pm : link
In comment 16596428 Lines of Scrimmage said:
Quote:
the question you asked me in your last post without even realizing it. Just think it through a little bit and refer to my last post and even some others in this thread.

Who do you think should be going very hard for the GM/HC?

The people who made the rankings?
RE: .  
allstarjim : 9/6/2024 2:39 pm : link
In comment 16595701 Go Terps said:
Quote:
I don't understand the inability to separate fandom from reality. You can want the Giants to win while at the same time acknowledging that they are a mess, and that objective observers are, generally, unified in calling the Giants one of the worst teams in the league.

Can anyone find a clickbait article saying the Giants are going to be a 11-13 win division winner and Super Bowl contender?


We have had our disagreements but I agree with 100% of this.

That said, and this isn't homerism, I do think the Giants will win 6-8 games, Eight being obviously being the height of optimism for me. Here's my take on this year and why I don't think realistically we'll be in that top 3 for the 2025 draft:

The Giants got better on defense. The addition of Burns makes the front very dangerous. We did lose McKinney, but Nubin, although a rookie, is mature and I do not believe will have a steep learning curve bc he is so fundamentally sound. I think he's an intelligent player, and has leadership ability. Obviously they have the carryover studs in Okereke and Lawrence, and maybe a tier below in Thibs, and I like Banks as well but I'm concerned about his transitioning to a more zone-heavy scheme. If the Giants can get passable play from the corners, then they have a chance to be very good.

Shifting to offense, the loss of Saquon will be felt, but not more than the gain of quality OL and the Nabers effect. And I am enthusiastic about what Hyatt will do in year two, particularly with Nabers drawing the attention he'll command. The pieces are there on offense aside from the absolute most important position.

I think DJ is what he is at this point, and Daboll will need to hide his deficiencies again. But that leads me to my next and most important point:

Daboll is a hell of a cood coach and offensive mind. The team under him has outperformed what they should have done in both seasons. They should've been terrible in 2022, the made the playoffs. Last year, given the circumstances with significant injuries to both Jones and Tyrod, that team had no business winning 6 games. They won games with an undrafted FA rookie QB, almost unheard of in the NFL. The Daboll effect will likely have them sneak wins in games they probably should lose.

But the schedule is very difficult and other teams also got better, particularly the Washington team adding Jayden Daniels, who will flummox a lot of D-Coordinators this season.

Put me down for a 7-10 season.
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